Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

CPI in December

Total Volume

$44.33K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

CPI in December

Vol

$44.33K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $44.33K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $44.33K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in December 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in December 2026?	Kalshi	90%
Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in December 2026?	Kalshi	82%
Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in December 2026?	Kalshi	69%
Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in December 2026?	Kalshi	55%
Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in December 2026?	Kalshi	23%
Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in December 2026?	Kalshi	15%
Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in December 2026?	Kalshi	12%
Will CPI rise more than 0.8% in December 2026?	Kalshi	8%
Will CPI rise more than 0.6% in December 2026?	Kalshi	8%
Will CPI rise more than 0.7% in December 2026?	Kalshi	7%
Will CPI rise more than 0.9% in December 2026?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

90%

Top Probability

$44.33K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In Dec 2026 If the Consumer Price Index, CPI, increases by more than X in December 2026, as reported to one decimal place, then the market resolves to Yes. Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** CPI in December
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In Dec 2026

If the Consumer Price Index, CPI, increases by more than X in December 2026, as reported to one decimal place, then the market resolves to Yes. Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.9% in December 2026, as reported to one decimal place, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $44.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will CPI rise more than 0.9% in December 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will CPI rise more than 0.8% in December 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $9.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will CPI rise more than 0.7% in December 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $7.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will CPI rise more than 0.6% in December 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $4.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in December 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $5.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in December 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in December 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in December 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $330
  DATA: [Yes: 55.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in December 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $187
  DATA: [Yes: 68.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in December 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $7.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in December 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $4.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 81.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

CPI in December

Volume$44.33K

Markets11

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KALSHI

Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in December 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.0¢No 10.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in December 2026?

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.1% in December 2026, as reported to one decimal place, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by

KALSHI

Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in December 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 81.5¢No 18.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in December 2026?

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.0% in December 2026, as reported to one decimal place, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a

KALSHI

Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in December 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 68.5¢No 31.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in December 2026?

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.1% in December 2026, as reported to one decimal place, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a

KALSHI

Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in December 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 55.0¢No 45.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in December 2026?

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.2% in December 2026, as reported to one decimal place, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a

KALSHI

Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in December 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 22.5¢No 77.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in December 2026?

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.3% in December 2026, as reported to one decimal place, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a

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CPI in December

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Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in December 2026?

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Events (1)

CPI in December

Markets (11)

Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in December 2026?

Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in December 2026?

Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in December 2026?

Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in December 2026?

Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in December 2026?

Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in December 2026?

Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in December 2026?

Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in December 2026?

Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in December 2026?

Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in December 2026?

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Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in December 2026?

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CPI in December

Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in December 2026?

Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in December 2026?

Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in December 2026?

Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in December 2026?

Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in December 2026?

Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in December 2026?

Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in December 2026?

Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in December 2026?

Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in December 2026?

Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in December 2026?

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