Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T21:00:06.062Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket event covers a short price window on October 27, 7:40AM to 7:45AM ET [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink TWAP of Hyperliquid for that window is "greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The stated resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
Reading the snapshot
The saved record was observed at 2026-10-26T21:00:06.062Z and retrieved at 2026-10-26T22:10:40.266Z [1]. These are different times. The observation time is when the provider price was recorded, and the retrieval time is when this record was pulled. The record is therefore about 70 minutes older than the retrieval time and should not be read as a live price.
The snapshot shows Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. They sum to 1.00, but no volume or liquidity figures are supplied, so the snapshot does not show how deep the market is or how many traders are involved.
The sample covers one market from one platform. All saved markets for this event are included, and the sample is not partial [1]. Because the contract is binary, no other outcome is omitted. No other platform's contract is included, so this snapshot supports no cross-platform comparison.
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T11:45:00.000Z [1], which matches the 7:45AM ET end of the window in the title. The listed end time is when the contract closes. It is not evidence of how the contract resolved.
What remains uncertain
The supplied evidence does not include the starting price for the window, the TWAP during the window, or a final resolution. The status was "active" at observation [1], but the record does not confirm status at the time you read it. The gap between 0.505 and 0.495 is not explained by the evidence, so no reason for it should be assumed. If you compare this contract with a similar one elsewhere, check the wording, time window, and listed close time first, since small differences in rules can change what each price means.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T21:00:06.062Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers the Polymarket contract titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET" [1]. It is a short-window price contract in the crypto category. The contract asks whether the HYPE/USD price, measured as a time-weighted average price (TWAP) over the specified five-minute range, will be at or above the price at the start of that range [1]. The rules state that the market resolves to "Up" if the TWAP for the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink's HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, not other sources or spot markets [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-27T11:45:00Z, which corresponds to the 7:45 AM ET end of the title's window [1]. The provider event records one market with two outcomes. At the observation time of 2026-10-26T21:00:06Z, the "Up" outcome was priced at 0.505 and the "Down" outcome at 0.495 [1]. These figures are a single provider snapshot. They are not executable quotes, and they do not establish a verified probability that either outcome will occur.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of a short-term price move for Hyperliquid's HYPE token against USD, as recorded in one specific Chainlink data stream [1]. Because resolution depends on a TWAP over the window rather than a single price at its end, the outcome reflects the average price across the range compared with the opening reference price [1]. The rules also say that other sources and spot markets do not determine the result [1]. Anyone reading the contract should therefore look at the Chainlink stream named in the rules rather than general price pages.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
It resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1].
Which data source is used for resolution?
The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
When does the contract end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T11:45:00Z, which matches the 7:45 AM ET end of the stated window [1].
Does the displayed price show the chance of an outcome?
The displayed prices are snapshots from the provider at one observation time, not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.