Miami vs Indianapolis: Rushing Yards
K 1.5K contracts
1
53
K 1.5K contracts
1
53
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 15, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Ollie Gordon II: 40+ at 84.5%.
Kalshi
- Ollie Gordon II: 40+84.5%
- Seth McGowan: 10+82%
- Jonathan Taylor: 40+80%
- Ollie Gordon II: 50+76%
- Seth McGowan: 15+73%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 1.5K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
53
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 15, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
This analysis was written from an earlier market snapshot, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Kalshi event covers rushing yards in a Miami vs Indianapolis professional football game, described as "originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026" [1]. Each market tracks one player and one yardage threshold. For example, the Ollie Gordon II 40+ market resolves to Yes if he records enough rushing yards in that game [1]. The rules add a special case: if a listed player is active but never appears in a live play, the market settles to the fair market price before game start [1]. Once the player appears in at least one live play, even one later nullified by penalty, settlement is based on rushing yards recorded [1].
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC and retrieved at Nov 14, 2026, 1:52 AM UTC [1]. They describe that earlier observation, not live trading at the time you read this. Each price is a snapshot, not an executable quote or a verified probability.
Within this sample, Yes prices generally fall as the yardage threshold rises. Ollie Gordon II at 40+ yards shows a Yes price of 0.83, while Ollie Gordon II at 70+ yards shows 0.535 [1]. Jonathan Taylor at 70+ yards shows 0.495 [1]. Each market lists an end date of Nov 17, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC [1]. Different players and thresholds are separate contracts, so their prices should not be averaged together or treated as an arbitrage opportunity.
The sample is partial. Kalshi reports 53 markets for this event, and 12 are included [1]. The included markets were selected by highest Yes price, then volume, so omitted markets should not be read as lower priced. The reported volume of 5,630 contracts is Kalshi's own total in its own units [1]. It is not a measure of liquidity or the number of traders.
What remains uncertain
The source does not supply a listed end time for the event, so the per-market end dates are the only closing times shown [1]. The excerpt does not report the game's result or any player statistics. The snapshot does not explain why prices sit where they do. Wording and listed close times may differ on other platforms, and this sample contains only Kalshi markets.
References
- Kalshi: Miami vs Indianapolis: Rushing Yards. Provider data observed Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC.
Snapshot observed Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied Kalshi event is titled "Miami vs Indianapolis: Rushing Yards," and its rules describe a market on individual players' rushing totals in a game "originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026" [1]. Each contract asks whether a named player reaches a stated threshold. For example, the Ollie Gordon II 40+ contract resolves Yes if he reaches that total, based on the rules' wording [1].
The rules also set edge cases. If a player is active but never appears in a live play, the market "settles to the fair market price before game start" [1]. The rules do not define "fair market price" in the supplied excerpt, so that outcome cannot be assessed from this evidence. The rules also state that the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1]. The supplied event lists no end time, while individual markets show an endDate of Nov 17, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. That date is a listed close time in the data, not an announced event date.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC and retrieved at Nov 14, 2026, 1:52 AM UTC [1]. They describe that moment only and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
Within the sample, the quoted Yes prices fall as thresholds rise. Ollie Gordon II is at 0.83 for 40+ yards, 0.74 for 50+, 0.63 for 60+, and 0.535 for 70+. Jonathan Taylor is at 0.81, 0.73, 0.61, and 0.495 for the same thresholds [1]. Seth McGowan is at 0.815 for 10+, 0.72 for 15+, and 0.62 for 20+ [1]. Jaylen Wright's 10+ market is at 0.60 [1]. These are separate contracts, so the figures should not be averaged or ranked across players.
The Kalshi sample includes 12 of 53 markets for this event, and the sample is marked as partial [1]. Markets were selected by Yes price, so omitted markets are not implied to have lower prices. Reported volume of 5,630 contracts is the provider's own figure and does not indicate liquidity or the number of traders [1].
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices are where they are, and it does not show current prices, recent team news, or how the game will unfold. Because the snapshot is from 2026-11-14, later prices may differ. The sample covers only one provider and one event, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. Different contracts with different prices do not in themselves indicate an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Kalshi: Miami vs Indianapolis: Rushing Yards. Provider data observed Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 14, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi contract titled "Miami vs Indianapolis: Rushing Yards." The contract is tied to a professional football game between Miami and Indianapolis that the source describes as originally scheduled for November 15, 2026 [1]. The word "originally" matters: the source uses it to describe the scheduled date, so the contract's own rules should be read as the reference for what happens if the game is moved or changed. Each market in this event asks whether a named running back will reach a stated rushing-yard threshold in that game. The source gives the pattern directly: if a named player records X rushing yards, the market resolves to Yes [1]. Separate markets exist for different players and different thresholds, such as 10, 15, 20, 40, 50, 60 and 70 yards, so one event can contain many contracts with different outcomes [1][observed market titles in the sample]. The rules also address a player who is listed as active but never takes a snap in a live play. According to the source, if the player is active but does not appear in any live play, the market settles to the fair market price before game start [1]. The source also says that once the player appears in at least one live play, the market settles based on the rushing yards recorded, and that this still applies even if the play is nullified by a penalty [1]. The rules further state that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The source identifies Kalshi as the platform and states that Kalshi is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or officially connected to the governing league [1]. Trademarks named in the rules belong to their respective owners [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures one player's rushing yards in one scheduled game. A Yes outcome depends on the stated threshold being reached under the contract's terms, and the rules explain how a player who is active but never appears in live play is handled [1]. Because a single event can include many players and thresholds, the outcomes are separate contracts rather than one combined forecast [1]. The prices shown in the sample are snapshots taken at the observation time. They reflect the last recorded Yes and No prices for each contract at that moment. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities of any outcome. The volume reported for this event is a platform-specific figure in contracts and reflects only that provider's own event, so it does not indicate liquidity or the number of participants [1][reported volume in sample].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-14 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes outcome require in this contract?
According to the rules, a market resolves to Yes if the named player records the stated number of rushing yards in the game [1].
What happens if a named player is active but never appears in a live play?
The rules say the market settles to the fair market price before game start in that case [1].
Does a penalty erase a player's rushing attempt for settlement?
The rules say that once the player appears in at least one live play, the market settles based on rushing yards recorded, even if the play is nullified by a penalty [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
