ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This record covers a single Polymarket contract titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET" [1]. The rules state that the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T05:15:00.000Z [1]. That corresponds to 1:15 AM Eastern Daylight Time on October 20, the end of the window named in the title. The contract's rules describe this closing time, but they do not show that the market has resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The saved quote was observed at 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z and retrieved at 2026-10-19T06:57:19.743Z [1]. At observation, the provider reported the status as active, with "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices from that moment. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
Because the observation time comes before the 1:10 to 1:15 AM ET window, the snapshot does not describe the price during the window itself. The saved record does not show later prices, so it cannot show how the market moved after observation.
The sample includes the one saved market for this event, and the coverage record marks it as complete for the saved event, with no partial sample [1]. The sample warning still applies: the record "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Here the two outcomes are a binary pair, so no omitted outcome is implied.
What remains uncertain
This record does not show the resolution, the ZEC/USD price path during the window, or any reason for the equal prices. It also does not show trading volume as an indicator of liquidity or the number of participants. Because the contract is a short window tied to a specific Chainlink data stream, a reader comparing it with other ZCash contracts should check each one's exact title, time range, and resolution source before treating the prices as comparable.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This market is a short-window price contract on ZEC/USD, the trading pair for Zcash, listed on Polymarket under the title "ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET" [1]. The contract asks whether the price of ZCash over a specific five-minute interval will finish at or above where that interval began. The title gives the window as 1:10 AM to 1:15 AM Eastern Time on October 20 [1]. The settlement rule is based on a time-weighted average price (TWAP), not a single spot trade. The source states that the market will resolve to "Up" if the TWAP over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The resolution data is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink [1]. The source also says the contract concerns only that Chainlink stream and not other sources or spot markets [1]. Traders therefore need to understand the specific data feed, not just the general price of Zcash elsewhere. The listed end time is 2026-10-20T05:15:00Z, and the provider lists the market as active [1]. That end time is the contract's closing time, which is distinct from the time the outcome is actually determined and reported. The saved snapshot in this record was observed at 2026-10-19T06:00:06Z, and the outcome prices shown at that time were 0.5 for "Up" and 0.5 for "Down" [1]. Those are snapshot values from one moment, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of ZEC/USD over one five-minute window, as defined by a Chainlink TWAP data stream [1]. Because the outcome depends on an average over the interval compared with the price at the start, a move that occurs late in the window can affect the result differently than a spot price check at the end would. The rule also limits resolution to that specific data stream, so readers should not treat prices from other exchanges or markets as the settlement basis [1]. The contract is a narrow, time-bounded question about one price feed rather than a broader forecast about Zcash.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
How does this market decide whether it resolves Up or Down?
It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1].
Which price data is used for resolution?
The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that other sources or spot markets are not used for this market [1].
What time window does this contract cover?
The title specifies 1:10 AM to 1:15 AM Eastern Time on October 20, and the listed end time in the source is 2026-10-20T05:15:00Z [1].
Do the saved prices show how likely each outcome is?
The saved snapshot shows 0.5 for both "Up" and "Down" at the observation time [1]. These are prices from one snapshot rather than executable quotes or verified probabilities, so they should not be read as a confirmed forecast.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.