Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T18:00:05.888Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This market asks whether the Hyperliquid price will rise or fall over a specific five-minute window. The title gives the window as "October 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET" [1]. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A contract on another exchange, a spot price feed, or a different averaging method would not follow these rules, so its price should not be compared directly with this one.
The listed end time is 2026-11-01T01:10:00.000Z [1]. This is the close time shown in the provider data, not a resolution. The excerpt does not show a final outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The provider data was observed at 2026-10-31T18:00:05.888Z and retrieved at 2026-10-31T19:00:12.816Z [1]. The prices are a snapshot from the observation time. At that time, the quoted prices were Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These figures are not current quotes, and they are not executable prices or verified probabilities. They are best read as the prices recorded at one moment, with a small gap between the two outcomes.
The sample contains one market from one provider event, so it is complete for this event but says nothing about other Hyperliquid contracts. The coverage record shows one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. The provider status was recorded as active [1].
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include any trading volume, liquidity figures, or the number of participants, so it cannot show how deep the market is or how firmly the price is held. The excerpt also does not explain why the prices stood where they did, and it contains no reporting on Hyperliquid or on the wider market.
The timestamps show that the observation and retrieval times both came before the listed window began at 01:05Z on November 1, so the snapshot could differ substantially from prices at the time of resolution. The evidence contains no resolution outcome, no record of the TWAP values, and no confirmation of the starting price. Readers should check the Chainlink stream and the provider's current status before relying on any figure here.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T18:00:05.888Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term crypto price contract listed on Polymarket and titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET" [1]. The contract asks whether the price of HYPE/USD, measured over a five-minute window, will end at or above where it started. The contract rules say the market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink TWAP data stream for the HYPE/USD pair, and not any other sources or spot markets [1]. This means that a price shown on a different exchange or data feed does not decide the outcome, even if it looks similar. The listed end time in the contract rules is 2026-11-01T01:10:00Z [1]. That is the time the contract is set to close under its rules. It is not a record of when the contract settled, and the evidence does not show a settlement result.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the HYPE/USD price, as reported in one specific Chainlink TWAP data stream, finishes a five-minute window at or above its starting level [1]. Because it uses a time-weighted average, the outcome depends on the average price across the window compared with the opening price, rather than only the price at one instant [1]. The rules specify that only this data stream counts, so the contract isolates one benchmark for the asset pair [1]. The saved record shows the contract as active at the time of its observation, with the rule details described above [1]. The record was captured at an earlier time than the current date, so it should not be read as a live status for the present.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-31 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes the contract resolve to Up?
The contract resolves to Up if the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Does a price on another exchange decide the outcome?
No. The rules state that the market is about the price in the Chainlink TWAP data stream for HYPE/USD, not any other sources or spot markets [1].
When is the contract scheduled to end?
The listed end time in the contract rules is 2026-11-01T01:10:00Z [1]. This is the rule-defined closing time and does not confirm when the contract actually settled.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.