GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Germany unemployment rate in July

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Germany unemployment rate in July

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Kalshi

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10 markets tracked

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 5.9%)

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Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 5.9%)	Kalshi	98%
Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.0%)	Kalshi	98%
Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.1%)	Kalshi	95%
Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.2%)	Kalshi	76%
Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.3%)	Kalshi	44%
Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.4%)	Kalshi	11%
Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.5%)	Kalshi	5%
Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.8%)	Kalshi	3%
Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.7%)	Kalshi	3%
Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.6%)	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

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About This Event

Germany UE Jul 2026 If the Germany unemployment rate is above X for July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Germany unemployment rate in July
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Germany UE Jul 2026

If the Germany unemployment rate is above X for July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Germany unemployment rate is above 6.8% for July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.8%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.7%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.6%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.5%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.4%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.3%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.2%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 75.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.1%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.0%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 5.9%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Germany unemployment rate in July

Volume$0.00

Markets10

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KALSHI

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 5.9%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 5.9%)

If the Germany unemployment rate is above 5.9% for July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.0%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.0%)

If the Germany unemployment rate is above 6.0% for July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.1%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.1%)

If the Germany unemployment rate is above 6.1% for July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.2%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 75.5¢No 24.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.2%)

If the Germany unemployment rate is above 6.2% for July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.3%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 44.5¢No 55.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.3%)

If the Germany unemployment rate is above 6.3% for July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/lHr42i" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Germany unemployment rate in July"></iframe>

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Germany unemployment rate in July

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Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 5.9%)

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Events (1)

Germany unemployment rate in July

Markets (10)

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 5.9%)

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 5.9%)

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.0%)

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.0%)

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.1%)

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.1%)

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.2%)

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.2%)

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.3%)

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.3%)

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Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 5.9%)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Germany unemployment rate in July

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 5.9%)

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 5.9%)

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.0%)

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.0%)

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.1%)

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.1%)

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.2%)

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.2%)

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.3%)

Germany unemployment rate in July 2026? (Above 6.3%)

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