Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Maine lobster landings in 2026

Total Volume

$21.04K

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Maine lobster landings in 2026

Vol

$21.04K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $21.04K

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0.0%avg

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Volume DistributionTotal: $21.04K

100%

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8 markets tracked

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 55 million pounds?

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Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 55 million pounds?	Kalshi	98%
Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 60 million pounds?	Kalshi	95%
Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 65 million pounds?	Kalshi	84%
Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 70 million pounds?	Kalshi	68%
Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 75 million pounds?	Kalshi	45%
Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 80 million pounds?	Kalshi	18%
Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 85 million pounds?	Kalshi	15%
Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 90 million pounds?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

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98%

Top Probability

$21.04K

Volume

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About This Event

2026 If the Maine Department of Marine Resources reports that Maine commercial lobster landings for calendar year 2026 is above X million pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the statewide Lobster commercial landings total published by Maine DMR for 2026, measured in live pounds. The market concerns landings volume, not landed value, number of fishing trips, or number of individual lobsters. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Maine lobster landings in 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If the Maine Department of Marine Resources reports that Maine commercial lobster landings for calendar year 2026 is above X million pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the statewide Lobster commercial landings total published by Maine DMR for 2026, measured in live pounds. The market concerns landings volume, not landed value, number of fishing trips, or number of individual lobsters. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Maine Department of Marine Resources reports that Maine commercial lobster landings for calendar year 2026 is above 

90 million pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the statewide Lobster commercial landings total published by Maine DMR for 2026, measure"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $21.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 90 million pounds?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 7, 2027): Vol $64
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 55 million pounds?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 7, 2027): Vol $73
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 60 million pounds?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 65 million pounds?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 7, 2027): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 83.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 85 million pounds?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 7, 2027): Vol $14.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 80 million pounds?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 7, 2027): Vol $5.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 75 million pounds?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 7, 2027): Vol $146
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 70 million pounds?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 7, 2027): Vol $360
  DATA: [Yes: 67.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Maine lobster landings in 2026

Volume$21.04K

Markets8

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KALSHI

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 55 million pounds?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 55 million pounds?

If the Maine Department of Marine Resources reports that Maine commercial lobster landings for calendar year 2026 is above 55 million pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the statewide Lobster commercial landings total published by Maine DMR for 2026, measure

KALSHI

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 60 million pounds?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 60 million pounds?

If the Maine Department of Marine Resources reports that Maine commercial lobster landings for calendar year 2026 is above 60 million pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the statewide Lobster commercial landings total published by Maine DMR for 2026, measure

KALSHI

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 65 million pounds?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 83.5¢No 16.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 65 million pounds?

If the Maine Department of Marine Resources reports that Maine commercial lobster landings for calendar year 2026 is above 65 million pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the statewide Lobster commercial landings total published by Maine DMR for 2026, measure

KALSHI

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 70 million pounds?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 67.5¢No 32.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 70 million pounds?

If the Maine Department of Marine Resources reports that Maine commercial lobster landings for calendar year 2026 is above 70 million pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the statewide Lobster commercial landings total published by Maine DMR for 2026, measure

KALSHI

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 75 million pounds?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 44.5¢No 55.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 75 million pounds?

If the Maine Department of Marine Resources reports that Maine commercial lobster landings for calendar year 2026 is above 75 million pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the statewide Lobster commercial landings total published by Maine DMR for 2026, measure

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Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 55 million pounds?

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Events (1)

Maine lobster landings in 2026

Markets (8)

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 55 million pounds?

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 55 million pounds?

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 60 million pounds?

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 60 million pounds?

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 65 million pounds?

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 65 million pounds?

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 70 million pounds?

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 70 million pounds?

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 75 million pounds?

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 75 million pounds?

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Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 55 million pounds?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Maine lobster landings in 2026

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 55 million pounds?

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 55 million pounds?

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 60 million pounds?

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 60 million pounds?

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 65 million pounds?

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 65 million pounds?

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 70 million pounds?

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 70 million pounds?

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 75 million pounds?

Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 75 million pounds?

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