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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega

Name: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega
End: 2026-05-02T03:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$20.71K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega

Vol

$20.71K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $20.71K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $20.71K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)	Poly	54%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	42%
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG - Map 1 Winner	Poly	30%
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG - Map 2 Winner	Poly	25%
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	Poly	21%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

54%

Top Probability

$20.71K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the Valorant match between Evil Geniuses and NRG in the VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega, initially scheduled for May 1 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Evil Geniuses" if Evil Geniuses win the match against NRG. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win the match against Evil Geniuses. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 2, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the Valorant match between Evil Geniuses and NRG in the VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega, initially scheduled for May 1 at 5:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Evil Geniuses" if Evil Geniuses win the match against NRG.

This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win the match against Evil Geniuses.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Valorant match between Evil Geniuses and NRG in the VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega, initially scheduled for May 1 at 5:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Evil Geniuses" if Evil Geniuses win the match against NRG.

This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win the match"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $20.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $82.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.25)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $13.5K
  DATA: [Evil Geniuses: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [NRG: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG - Map 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $170
  DATA: [Evil Geniuses: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [NRG: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG - Map 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Evil Geniuses: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [NRG: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Over: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $4.5K
  DATA: [NRG: 54.0% (0.0%)] | [Evil Geniuses: 46.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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