XRP Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
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XRP Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of XRP, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair XRP/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-28T03:00:06.402Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This market covers XRP over a five-minute window, as named in its title: "XRP Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET" [1]. The saved rules say it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of XRP, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The named resolution source is the XRP/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair XRP/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. Other XRP prices on exchanges are therefore not the stated basis for settlement.
The listed end time is 2026-10-28T21:40:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract closing time in the saved record. It is not a confirmed resolution time, and the evidence does not show whether or when the market has resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The saved record contains one Polymarket market with two outcomes. The Up price is 0.505 and the Down price is 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. They were observed at 2026-10-28T03:00:06.402Z and retrieved at 2026-10-28T05:25:02.295Z [1]. The prices describe that saved snapshot and should not be read as current.
At that snapshot, Up was quoted 0.010 above Down, and the two prices sum to 1.00. The evidence does not explain why the prices stood where they did, and it includes no volume or trader information to interpret.
The sample includes the only saved market for this event, so no other outcomes are compared. The sample is not partial for this event. The saved warning, however, notes that the included markets do not establish that providers list every possible real-world outcome [1].
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the XRP price path during the window, the TWAP value, or the starting price for the range, so it cannot indicate how the outcome will be determined. It also does not show the market's status after the snapshot. Comparing this contract with markets on other platforms would require matching rules and close times, and this record includes only Polymarket [1].
References
- Polymarket: XRP Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-28T03:00:06.402Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 28, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event titled "XRP Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET" in the crypto category [1]. The contract asks whether XRP's price will move up or down over a five-minute window. According to the provider's rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of XRP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The price used for resolution is not taken from an exchange or general spot market. The rules state that the resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules also say that only this Chainlink data stream for the XRP/USD pair counts, and not other sources or spot markets [1]. This means that the outcome depends on one named data feed and the defined time window, so a reader should check the rules before relying on general XRP price reports to judge the result. The saved snapshot shows two outcomes. "Up" was listed at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These values were recorded at the provider observation time of 2026-10-28T03:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-28T05:25:02Z [1]. They reflect the saved provider data at that moment and are not live or executable quotes.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a short-term directional question about XRP/USD as reported by one named data stream. Under the rules, the outcome is "Up" if the TWAP across the title's time range is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that range, and "Down" otherwise [1]. Because the comparison uses a time-weighted average rather than a single trade, the result reflects the averaged price path over the window as recorded in the Chainlink stream [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-28T21:40:00Z [1]. That is the contract's closing time as listed in the rules and does not show when any result was published or resolved.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-28 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves to Up or Down?
The market resolves to "Up" if the TWAP of XRP from the Chainlink data stream over the title's time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
Which price source is used for resolution?
The rules name the XRP/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink as the resolution source and state that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
What do the prices in the snapshot represent?
The snapshot lists Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 as saved provider prices [1]. These are observed snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.