Platinum Up or Down - 15 minutes
K 36 contracts
1
1
Platinum Up or Down - 15 minutes
K 36 contracts
1
1
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Target price: TBD at 60%.
Kalshi
- Target price: TBD60%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 36 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Oct 30 - 8:00AM EDT to 8:15AM EDT If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Platinum on Oct 30, 2026 at 8:15 AM EDT is at least the close price of the 1-minute Pyth PLATINUM candlestick at 8:00 AM EDT on October 30, 2026 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 3 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-30T12:00:07.014Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Kalshi market titled "Platinum Up or Down - 15 minutes" in the Commodities category [1]. Its rules say the market resolves to Yes if "the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Platinum on Oct 30, 2026 at 8:15 AM EDT is at least the close price of the 1-minute Pyth PLATINUM candlestick at 8:00 AM EDT on October 30, 2026 USD/t.oz" [1]. The settlement value is rounded to three decimal places, and a one-minute candlestick's close is the price at the end of the preceding interval [1]. If the designated source publishes no data for a given time, the most recently available published data is used [1].
The rules name a window from 8:00 AM to 8:15 AM EDT on October 30, 2026 [1]. The saved market record, however, lists an end date of November 6, 2026 at 12:15 UTC, while the source states that the listed end time was not supplied [1]. These fields do not match. Readers should rely on the settlement wording and confirm the window with the platform.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 12:00:07 UTC on October 30, 2026, and the record was retrieved at 12:58:48 UTC the same day [1]. The prices below describe that observation only. They are not live quotes and may not reflect current trading.
- Yes: 0.60
- No: 0.40
In this record, the Yes price sits above the No price [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The saved data includes no volume figure, so nothing here speaks to liquidity or to how many traders hold each side. The status is listed as active, and no resolution outcome is supplied [1].
The sample covers one market from one provider event. Coverage for that event is complete, with one of one markets included and no partial sample flagged [1]. That does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome for a real-world question [1].
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the price is where it is, and it contains no news or context about platinum prices. It also does not show whether the 12:00 UTC prices still hold, or how the settlement value will compare to the Pyth data once the window closes. Readers should check the live platform, confirm the close time, and avoid comparing this contract with differently worded contracts on other platforms.
References
- Kalshi: Platinum Up or Down - 15 minutes. Provider data observed 2026-10-30T12:00:07.014Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 30, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract, titled "Platinum Up or Down - 15 minutes" on Kalshi, asks whether the price of platinum will be higher at the end of a short window than at its start. According to the contract rules, the window runs from 8:00 AM EDT to 8:15 AM EDT on October 30, 2026 [1]. The market resolves to Yes if the closing price of the one-minute candlestick for platinum at 8:15 AM EDT is at least the closing price of the one-minute Pyth PLATINUM candlestick at 8:00 AM EDT, with prices in USD per troy ounce [1]. The settlement value is rounded to three decimal places [1]. The rules define the closing price of a one-minute candlestick as the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading from 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM [1]. If the specified source does not publish data for the required time, the rules say the most recently available published data will be used [1]. The provider lists the contract as active and does not supply a listed end time [1]. The market record saved with this entry shows a different end date from the October 30 window described in the rules. The record does not explain that difference, so readers should rely on the rule text for the measurement window.
Why It Matters
The contract measures short-term directional movement in platinum prices over a 15-minute period, using the rule-defined candlestick timestamps rather than a general market summary [1]. Because the comparison uses two specific one-minute closing prices, the result depends on the exact timestamps and the named data source in the rules [1]. Readers interested in how the contract is set up should read the timing and fallback language closely, since those details determine what counts as Yes [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-30 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes result require under the rules?
A Yes result requires the closing price of the one-minute platinum candlestick at 8:15 AM EDT on October 30, 2026 to be at least the closing price of the one-minute Pyth PLATINUM candlestick at 8:00 AM EDT [1].
How is a one-minute closing price defined?
The rules define the closing price of a one-minute candlestick as the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval, so the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM closes at 5:00:00 PM [1].
What happens if the required data is not published at the specified time?
The rules state that the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market in that case [1].
Does a listed price show how the contract will settle?
No. A market price is a snapshot of trading interest at one moment and is not an executable quote or a verified probability, and the rules alone determine settlement [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Silver Up or Down - 15 minutes
K 336.12 contracts
AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes
K 0 contracts
Brent Crude Oil Up or Down - 15 minutes
K 0 contracts
Copper Up or Down - 15 minutes
K 0 contracts
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes
K 0 contracts
Gold Up or Down - 15 minutes
K 0 contractsMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
