Pina Jan vs. Polak Karel
PM $0
1
5
Pina Jan vs. Polak Karel
PM $0
1
5
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
5
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 16, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the table tennis match between Pina Jan and Polak Karel in Setka Cup Czechia Men, scheduled for October 16 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pina Jan' if Pina Jan wins against Polak Karel. This market will resolve to 'Polak Karel' if Polak Karel wins against Pina Jan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved Polymarket event covers the table tennis match between Pina Jan and Polak Karel in Setka Cup Czechia Men [1]. The winner contract resolves to the player who wins the match [1]. The source also states that the market "will resolve to 50-50" if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner [1]. A walkover also resolves to 50-50, while a player who advances after an opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification resolves to that player [1].
The primary resolution source is the "official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers" [1]. A consensus of credible reporting is used only if final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-23T19:30:00.000Z [1]. This is a listed close time, not a record of when the match was played or when the contract resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T04:14:45.655Z [1]. These timestamps describe this saved record only and do not establish the market's status today.
In this snapshot, the winner contract shows Pina Jan at 0.5 and Polak Karel at 0.5 [1]. The Over/Under 3.5 and Over/Under 4.5 game total contracts each show Over at 0.505 and Under at 0.495 [1]. The two game handicap contracts use different outcome labels and thresholds, so they should be read against their own wording rather than combined with the winner contract [1]. All prices are snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The sample includes all five saved markets for this event, and partialSample is false [1]. The record does not include volume or trader counts, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many people hold each view.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the match result, any later status change, or why the prices are where they are. The sample warning also states that the provider data "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Because these are separate contracts with different thresholds and handicaps, differences between their prices do not by themselves indicate an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Polymarket: Pina Jan vs. Polak Karel. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event for a men's table tennis match between Pina Jan and Polak Karel in the Setka Cup Czechia Men competition. The source describes the match as scheduled for October 16 at 3:30 PM ET [1]. The contract is a short-horizon sports market, so its resolution rules matter as much as the outcome prices. The event carries five contracts in the saved sample [1]. One is a straight winner market between the two players. Two are total games markets, Over and Under 3.5 and Over and Under 4.5. Two are game handicap markets, one with Pina Jan at -1.5 and Polak Karel at +1.5, and one with the reverse. The sample includes all saved markets for this event, but that does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome. The winner contract resolves to whichever player wins the match [1]. The rules also address unusual endings. If the match is canceled without being played, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date with no winner, the market resolves 50-50. A walkover, where one player withdraws before the start, also resolves 50-50 [1]. If a match begins but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. The primary resolution source is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If those are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, the rules allow a consensus of credible reporting to be used instead [1].
Why It Matters
The contracts ask how this specific match will end, with prices showing the market's saved snapshot of trading on each outcome. The total games contracts depend on how many games are played in the match, while the game handicap contracts depend on the margin of games between the players [1]. Prices in the snapshot are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and trading volume does not indicate liquidity. The listed end time of the market is a closing date for trading and is not the same as the match result date. Resolution depends on the official statistics or the fallback rule described in the contract [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the winner contract resolve to?
It resolves to Pina Jan if Pina Jan wins the match, and to Polak Karel if Polak Karel wins [1].
What happens if the match is canceled or not played?
If the match is canceled without being played, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, the market resolves 50-50 [1].
What happens if a player retires during the match?
If the match begins but is not completed and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
Where does the result come from for settlement?
The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or organizers. If final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
