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A's vs Detroit: Home Runs

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A's vs Detroit: Home Runs

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Polymarket

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markets · $0.00

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0.0%avg

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35 markets tracked

Zach McKinstry: 1+ home runs?

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Single-Platform Markets(35)

Market	Platform	Price
Zach McKinstry: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	100%
Jake Rogers: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	100%
Nick Kurtz: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	11%
Shea Langeliers: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	10%
Jake Rogers: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	10%
Spencer Torkelson: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	7%
Riley Greene: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	7%
James Outman: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	7%
Kerry Carpenter: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	7%
Colby Thomas: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	6%
Matt Vierling: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	5%
Kevin McGonigle: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	5%
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	5%
Jonah Heim: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	5%
James Outman: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	5%
Henry Bolte: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	5%
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	4%
Hao-Yu Lee: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	4%
Alika Williams: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	4%
Zach McKinstry: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	3%
Shea Langeliers: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	2%
Kevin McGonigle: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	2%
Matt Vierling: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	2%
Kerry Carpenter: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	2%
Colby Thomas: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	2%
Nick Kurtz: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	2%
Jacob Wilson: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	2%
Spencer Torkelson: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Riley Greene: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Jonah Heim: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Henry Bolte: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Hao-Yu Lee: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Alika Williams: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Zack Gelof: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Zack Gelof: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

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ATH vs DET (Jul 9) If Zack Gelof records X home runs in A's vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Zack Gelof is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Zack Gelof starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Zack Gelof is not in the startin

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** A's vs Detroit: Home Runs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** ATH vs DET (Jul 9)

If Zack Gelof records X home runs in A's vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Zack Gelof is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Zack Gelof starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Zack Gelof is not in the startin

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Zack Gelof records 2+ home runs in A's vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria
If Zack Gelof is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the mar"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Zack Gelof: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Zack Gelof: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Zach McKinstry: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Zach McKinstry: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Spencer Torkelson: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Spencer Torkelson: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Shea Langeliers: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Shea Langeliers: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Riley Greene: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Riley Greene: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Matt Vierling: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Matt Vierling: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Kevin McGonigle: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Kevin McGonigle: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Kerry Carpenter: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Kerry Carpenter: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Joshua Kuroda-Grauer: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Joshua Kuroda-Grauer: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Jonah Heim: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Jonah Heim: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. James Outman: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. James Outman: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Jake Rogers: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Jake Rogers: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Henry Bolte: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Henry Bolte: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Hao-Yu Lee: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Hao-Yu Lee: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Colby Thomas: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Colby Thomas: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Alika Williams: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Alika Williams: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Nick Kurtz: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. Nick Kurtz: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Jacob Wilson: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

A's vs Detroit: Home Runs

Volume$0.00

Markets35

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KALSHI

Zach McKinstry: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Zach McKinstry: 1+ home runs?

If Zach McKinstry records 1+ home runs in A's vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Zach McKinstry is scratched or not included in the starting lineup,

KALSHI

Jake Rogers: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Jake Rogers: 1+ home runs?

If Jake Rogers records 1+ home runs in A's vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Jake Rogers is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the m

KALSHI

Nick Kurtz: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.0¢No 89.0¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Nick Kurtz: 1+ home runs?

If Nick Kurtz records 1+ home runs in A's vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Nick Kurtz is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the mar

KALSHI

Shea Langeliers: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Shea Langeliers: 1+ home runs?

If Shea Langeliers records 1+ home runs in A's vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Shea Langeliers is scratched or not included in the starting lineu

KALSHI

Jake Rogers: 2+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Jake Rogers: 2+ home runs?

If Jake Rogers records 2+ home runs in A's vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Jake Rogers is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the m

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A's vs Detroit: Home Runs

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Zach McKinstry: 1+ home runs?

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Events (1)

A's vs Detroit: Home Runs

Markets (35)

Zach McKinstry: 1+ home runs?

Zach McKinstry: 1+ home runs?

Jake Rogers: 1+ home runs?

Jake Rogers: 1+ home runs?

Nick Kurtz: 1+ home runs?

Nick Kurtz: 1+ home runs?

Shea Langeliers: 1+ home runs?

Shea Langeliers: 1+ home runs?

Jake Rogers: 2+ home runs?

Jake Rogers: 2+ home runs?

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Zach McKinstry: 1+ home runs?

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A's vs Detroit: Home Runs

Zach McKinstry: 1+ home runs?

Zach McKinstry: 1+ home runs?

Jake Rogers: 1+ home runs?

Jake Rogers: 1+ home runs?

Nick Kurtz: 1+ home runs?

Nick Kurtz: 1+ home runs?

Shea Langeliers: 1+ home runs?

Shea Langeliers: 1+ home runs?

Jake Rogers: 2+ home runs?

Jake Rogers: 2+ home runs?

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