This event has ended. Showing historical data.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Name: UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)
End: 2026-05-03T03:59:59.999Z

Total Volume

$23.66K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Vol

$23.66K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $23.66K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $23.66K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Poly	66%
Over/Under 0.5 Rounds	Poly	65%
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Poly	51%
Will Brando Pericic win by KO or TKO?	Poly	49%
Over/Under 1.5 Rounds	Poly	36%
Over/Under 2.5 Rounds	Poly	23%
Will Shamil Gaziev win by KO or TKO?	Poly	22%
Will the fight be won by submission?	Poly	16%
Fight to Go the Distance?	Poly	14%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

66%

Top Probability

$23.66K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Shamil Gaziev" if Shamil Gaziev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Brando Pericic at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026. It will resolve to "Brando Pericic" if Brando Pericic is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market wil

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 3, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Shamil Gaziev" if Shamil Gaziev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Brando Pericic at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026.

It will resolve to "Brando Pericic" if Brando Pericic is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market wil

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Shamil Gaziev and Brando Pericic at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.

Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Shamil Gaziev and Brando Pericic at U"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $23.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $61.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.38)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Over/Under 1.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $281
  DATA: [Over: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $23.4K
  DATA: [Shamil Gaziev: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Brando Pericic: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Fight to Go the Distance?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Shamil Gaziev win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $3
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Brando Pericic win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the fight be won by submission?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Over/Under 0.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Over/Under 2.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 77.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Volume$23.66K

Markets9

9 of 9

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 65.5¢No 34.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Shamil Gaziev and Brando Pericic at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight end

POLYMARKET

Will Brando Pericic win by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Brando Pericic win by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Brando Pericic defeats Shamil Gaziev at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by d

POLYMARKET

Will Shamil Gaziev win by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 22.0¢No 78.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Shamil Gaziev win by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shamil Gaziev defeats Brando Pericic at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by d

POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by submission?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 16.0¢No 84.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the fight be won by submission?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Shamil Gaziev and Brando Pericic at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise,

POLYMARKET

Fight to Go the Distance?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Fight to Go the Distance?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Shamil Gaziev and Brando Pericic at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Dr

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

38¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/lji6dr" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket

UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)

UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Markets (9)

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will Brando Pericic win by KO or TKO?

Will Brando Pericic win by KO or TKO?

Will Shamil Gaziev win by KO or TKO?

Will Shamil Gaziev win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will Brando Pericic win by KO or TKO?

Will Brando Pericic win by KO or TKO?

Will Shamil Gaziev win by KO or TKO?

Will Shamil Gaziev win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget