This event has ended. Showing historical data.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Who will advance in the CA-48 primary?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Who will advance in the CA-48 primary?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Jim Desmond)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Jim Desmond)	Kalshi	95%
Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Ammar Campa-Najjar)	Kalshi	68%
Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Marni von Wilpert)	Kalshi	26%
Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Brandon Riker)	Kalshi	11%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

95%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

CA-48 If X advances in the 2026 CA-48 primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will advance in the CA-48 primary?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** CA-48

If X advances in the 2026 CA-48 primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Marni von Wilpert advances in the 2026 CA-48 primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Marni von Wilpert)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Jim Desmond)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Brandon Riker)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Ammar Campa-Najjar)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 67.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Who will advance in the CA-48 primary?

Volume$0.00

Markets4

4 of 4

Sort:

KALSHI

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Jim Desmond)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Jim Desmond)

If Jim Desmond advances in the 2026 CA-48 primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market

KALSHI

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Ammar Campa-Najjar)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 67.5¢No 32.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Ammar Campa-Najjar)

If Ammar Campa-Najjar advances in the 2026 CA-48 primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This

KALSHI

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Marni von Wilpert)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Marni von Wilpert)

If Marni von Wilpert advances in the 2026 CA-48 primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This

KALSHI

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Brandon Riker)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Brandon Riker)

If Brandon Riker advances in the 2026 CA-48 primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This mark

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

50¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/m10wq5" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will advance in the CA-48 primary?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Who will advance in the CA-48 primary?

Who will advance in the CA-48 primary?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Jim Desmond)

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Who will advance in the CA-48 primary?

Markets (4)

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Jim Desmond)

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Jim Desmond)

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Ammar Campa-Najjar)

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Ammar Campa-Najjar)

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Marni von Wilpert)

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Marni von Wilpert)

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Brandon Riker)

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Brandon Riker)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Jim Desmond)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will advance in the CA-48 primary?

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Jim Desmond)

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Jim Desmond)

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Ammar Campa-Najjar)

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Ammar Campa-Najjar)

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Marni von Wilpert)

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Marni von Wilpert)

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Brandon Riker)

Who will advance in the 2026 CA-48 primary? (Brandon Riker)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget