Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This is a Kalshi listing titled "New Orleans vs New York G: Receptions," which the source describes as a game "originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026" [1]. Each market refers to one named player and a receptions threshold. The rule text says that if the named player records X receptions in the game, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The listing also covers edge cases. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a player takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, settlement is based on receptions recorded [1]. The market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1].

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-16T03:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T05:58:21Z [1]. The prices below describe that earlier observed snapshot. They do not show live conditions at the time you read this.

The saved sample includes 12 of 65 markets for this provider event, so it is partial [1]. Included markets were ordered by highest finite Yes price, then by volume. Omitted markets are therefore not shown to be cheaper, and the sample should not be treated as the full field [1]. These rankings apply only within this event and should not be compared with other providers or events.

Among the included markets, Malik Nabers at 3+ receptions and Devaughn Vele at 2+ receptions each show a Yes price of 0.925. Malik Nabers at 5+ receptions shows 0.685, and Devaughn Vele at 4+ receptions shows 0.61 [1]. In each saved market, the Yes and No prices sum to approximately 1. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Markets with different players or thresholds measure different outcomes, so a price gap between them is not an arbitrage opportunity.

What remains uncertain

The source lists the event end time as "not supplied," but each market record shows an endDate of 2026-10-20T17:00:00.000Z [1]. That is a contract field. It does not confirm when the game is played or when settlement occurs. The evidence records the provider status as active at retrieval, but it contains no game result. The prices do not explain why they stand where they do, and the data does not show how many traders hold each view. Check the source directly for current status before relying on any figure.

References

1. Kalshi: New Orleans vs New York G: Receptions. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.