Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs MANA eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A
PM $38.5K
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Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs MANA eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A
PM $38.5K
1
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $38.5K
Reported volume · provider units
2
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between NAVI Junior and MANA eSports in the European Pro League Regular Group A, initially scheduled for May 14 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "NAVI Junior" if NAVI Junior win the match against MANA eSports. This market will resolve to "MANA eSports" if MANA eSports win the match against NAVI Junior. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T00:00:05.826Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Polymarket event covers a Counter-Strike match between NAVI Junior and MANA eSports in the European Pro League Regular Group A. The rules describe the match as "the Counter-Strike Decider match," which is initially scheduled for May 14 at 4:00AM ET [1]. Two markets from this event are in the snapshot: "Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?" and "Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?" Each offers "Odd" and "Even" outcomes [1].
The team-winner wording differs from the map-level wording. The event rules say the market "will resolve to 'NAVI Junior' if NAVI Junior win the match" [1]. The two map markets ask a different question about total kills on each map. They are not interchangeable with the match-winner contract, and their outcomes should not be compared directly.
The listed end time for both markets is 2026-05-22T03:59:00.000Z [1]. This is a provider-listed close time, not an announced event date or a resolution time.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-19T00:00:05.826Z, and the retrieval time is 2026-10-19T02:15:48.693Z [1]. These values describe this saved snapshot only. They do not show the market's status at any later time.
Each map market shows Odd at 0.5 and Even at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and the snapshot does not show the number of traders or the reasons for the prices.
The sample covers both saved markets for this event, with 2 of 2 included and no partial sample flag [1]. The provider warning states that the saved markets do not establish that every possible outcome is listed [1]. Because each market has only two outcomes, no outcome is omitted here. No cross-platform comparison is supplied, so these prices should not be compared with contracts on other platforms.
What remains uncertain
The supplied evidence does not show the match result, whether the match was played, or how either market resolved. The listed end time of 2026-05-22 is earlier than the 2026-10-19 snapshot date, but the evidence does not explain that gap or confirm the market's current status [1]. Readers should check the provider page and the resolution source named in the rules, which is hltv.org, for current information [1].
The rules also set fallback outcomes. A match that is canceled, tied, forfeited, or delayed beyond 7 days without a winner resolves to 50-50 [1]. The supplied evidence does not show whether any of these conditions applied.
References
- Polymarket: Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs MANA eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T00:00:05.826Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
The event page describes a Counter-Strike match between NAVI Junior and MANA eSports, a best-of-three contest in the European Pro League Regular Group A [1]. The source says the match was initially scheduled for May 14 at 4:00AM ET [1]. The saved event contains two markets, both titled as odd or even total kills: one for Map 1 and one for Map 2. Each offers Odd and Even outcomes [1]. In the saved snapshot, both outcomes of each market were priced at 0.5 [1]. A snapshot price is an observed value at one moment, not an executable quote or a verified probability. The event's written rules describe a match-winner contract. They say the market resolves to NAVI Junior if NAVI Junior wins, and to MANA eSports if MANA eSports wins [1]. The supplied text does not state the settlement rules for the odd and even kill markets, so those markets should be read only through their titles and the saved outcomes. The listed end time is 2026-05-22 at 03:59 UTC [1]. The snapshot was observed on 2026-10-19 and records the provider status as active [1]. Because the listed end date falls months before that observation, the saved record reflects how the listing appeared at the time of retrieval rather than a live contract that is still open.
Why It Matters
The event's written rules define a match-winner contract. The market resolves to whichever team wins the match, and it can resolve 50-50 in several situations. These include cancellation, a tie, a delay of more than 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, and certain forfeits, disqualifications, or walkovers [1]. The stated resolution source is official information from hltv.org. If hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence [1]. The rules also say that minor name differences, such as abbreviations, sponsor tags, academy designations, or formatting changes, are treated as referring to the same team if the intended team can be clearly identified within the competition. If the team cannot be uniquely identified, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. The odd and even markets saved with this event measure whether a map's total kills are odd or even, according to their titles [1]. Their exact counting and settlement terms are not described in the supplied text.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the match-winner contract pay out on?
The rules say the market resolves to NAVI Junior if NAVI Junior wins the match, and to MANA eSports if MANA eSports wins [1].
When does the contract resolve 50-50?
According to the event rules, it resolves 50-50 if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner. It also resolves 50-50 when a match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover before the start, with the other team winning automatically [1].
Where are the results taken from?
The stated resolution source is official information from hltv.org. If hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used, including video evidence [1].
What do the Map 1 and Map 2 markets measure?
They are titled as odd or even total kills for each map and offer Odd and Even outcomes [1]. The supplied text does not explain the counting or settlement method for these markets.
Do the saved prices show a current trading opportunity?
No. The saved prices are snapshots from the observation time, not executable quotes, and the listed end date is earlier than the observation date [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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