GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Hermès Kelly: Highest auction sale price this year

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Hermès Kelly: Highest auction sale price this year

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

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0.0%avg

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $100000 in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $100000 in 2026?	Kalshi	77%
Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $150000 in 2026?	Kalshi	49%
Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $200000 in 2026?	Kalshi	38%
Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $250000 in 2026?	Kalshi	29%
Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $300000 in 2026?	Kalshi	13%
Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $400000 in 2026?	Kalshi	7%
Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $500000 in 2026?	Kalshi	7%
Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $1000000 in 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $900000 in 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $800000 in 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $700000 in 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $600000 in 2026?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

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77%

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$0.00

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About This Event

2026 If highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's is above X than the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Sotheby’s. Any references to Sotheby’s, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Sotheby’s and Kalshi. This market will close and expire early if the price data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Hermès Kelly: Highest auction sale price this year
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's is above X than the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Sotheby’s. Any references to Sotheby’s, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Sotheby’s and Kalshi. This market will close and expire early if the price data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's is above $900000 than the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Sotheby’s. Any references to Sotheby’s, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do n"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $900000 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $800000 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $700000 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $600000 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $500000 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $400000 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $300000 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $250000 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $200000 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $150000 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $1000000 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $100000 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 77.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Hermès Kelly: Highest auction sale price this year

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KALSHI

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $100000 in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 77.0¢No 23.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $100000 in 2026?

If highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's is above $100000 than the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Sotheby’s. Any references to Sotheby’s, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do n

KALSHI

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $150000 in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.0¢No 51.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $150000 in 2026?

If highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's is above $150000 than the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Sotheby’s. Any references to Sotheby’s, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do n

KALSHI

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $200000 in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.5¢No 62.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $200000 in 2026?

If highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's is above $200000 than the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Sotheby’s. Any references to Sotheby’s, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do n

KALSHI

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $250000 in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 29.0¢No 71.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $250000 in 2026?

If highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's is above $250000 than the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Sotheby’s. Any references to Sotheby’s, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do n

KALSHI

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $300000 in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 13.0¢No 87.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $300000 in 2026?

If highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's is above $300000 than the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Sotheby’s. Any references to Sotheby’s, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do n

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19¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/mZVi7H" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Hermès Kelly: Highest auction sale price this year"></iframe>

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Hermès Kelly: Highest auction sale price this year

Hermès Kelly: Highest auction sale price this year

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Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $100000 in 2026?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Hermès Kelly: Highest auction sale price this year

Markets (12)

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $100000 in 2026?

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $100000 in 2026?

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $150000 in 2026?

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $150000 in 2026?

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $200000 in 2026?

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $200000 in 2026?

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $250000 in 2026?

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $250000 in 2026?

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $300000 in 2026?

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $300000 in 2026?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $100000 in 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Hermès Kelly: Highest auction sale price this year

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $100000 in 2026?

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $100000 in 2026?

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $150000 in 2026?

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $150000 in 2026?

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $200000 in 2026?

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $200000 in 2026?

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $250000 in 2026?

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $250000 in 2026?

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $300000 in 2026?

Will highest auction sale price of any Hermès Kelly bag sold at auction on Sotheby's be above $300000 in 2026?

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