Dogecoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
PM $0
1
1
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window Dogecoin contract listed on Polymarket, titled "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET" [1]. The contract is binary, with two outcomes, "Up" and "Down" [1]. According to the provider's rules, it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The rules name a specific measurement source. The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream for the DOGE/USD pair, not prices from other sources or spot markets [1]. Because of this, a move on another exchange or data feed would not by itself determine the outcome. The provider lists an end time of 2026-10-15T22:00:00.000Z for this event [1]. The saved record shows the event as active at its observation time, which was 2026-10-15T21:00:05.939Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-15T21:57:54.624Z [1]. Those times describe when the record was captured. They do not show the outcome, and the contract's end time in the rules is not evidence of when resolution was reported. In the saved snapshot, both outcomes are priced at 0.50 [1]. A snapshot price is not an executable quote or a verified probability of either outcome. The snapshot also covers only this single market, so it says nothing about other Dogecoin contracts or about other time windows.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of Dogecoin's price over a 15-minute window as defined by a TWAP calculated from a Chainlink data stream [1]. Averaging over the window means the result depends on the average price across the period compared with the starting price, rather than a single price at one moment. The contract rules limit the measurement to the named DOGE/USD data stream [1], so the question being asked is narrow: whether that specific average finishes at or above the starting level.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
It resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price of Dogecoin over the stated window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window, and to Down otherwise [1].
Which price source is used?
The resolution source is the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
When does the contract end?
The provider lists an end time of 2026-10-15T22:00:00.000Z [1].
Does the snapshot price show the likelihood of an outcome?
No. The saved outcome prices of 0.50 for both Up and Down are snapshot values from a single observation, not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
