Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
PM $0
1
1
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T09:00:06.399Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract covers a single five-minute window for Hyperliquid, titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET" [1]. The rules say it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].
The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A contract on a different Hyperliquid price feed, a spot exchange, or a different window would not be comparable, even if the title looks similar.
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T08:25:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's listed closing time, not a resolution time. The evidence does not show a resolution result.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-26T09:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-26T11:11:30Z [1]. These are two different times, and the prices describe only the observation time. Current prices may differ.
At observation, the quoted prices were Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The gap of 0.010 between the two outcomes is a difference in the saved quotes only. The evidence does not explain why the prices were set at these levels.
The snapshot includes one market from one provider event. Coverage shows one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. The sample therefore contains every saved market for this event, but the source notes that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Because this is a binary Up or Down contract, no other outcomes are shown.
The evidence contains no volume or trader data, so it cannot speak to liquidity or the number of participants.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include the price at the start of the window, the TWAP value during the window, or any resolution outcome. Whether the contract resolves Up or Down cannot be determined from this snapshot. The evidence also does not show prices after the observation time, so any reader comparing this contract with another should check current data and confirm that both use the same underlying feed, window, and listed close time.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T09:00:06.399Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
PredictPedia's Hyperliquid Up or Down contract is a short-window price market on Polymarket. It asks whether the HYPE/USD price, measured as a time-weighted average price (TWAP), finishes the window at or above where it started. The title names the window as October 27, 4:20AM to 4:25AM ET. The listed end time is 2026-10-27T08:25:00Z, which is the close of that five-minute window [1]. The rules say the market resolves to "Up" if the TWAP over the window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. Because the comparison includes equality, a flat result resolves to Up under these rules. The contract therefore measures direction over the window, not a fixed price target. The resolution source is Chainlink's HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, identified in the rules as a 60-second TWAP stream [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink stream, not any other data source or spot market [1]. A move on a different exchange or price feed would not, by the rules, determine the outcome. The event page states that Hyperliquid's TWAP is generated by Chainlink [1]. The provider lists the event as active [1]. The contract's end time is later than the observation time of the saved snapshot, so the snapshot predates the close and does not show how the contract resolved. Any price shown for the two outcomes is a snapshot from that earlier time, not a live or executable quote, and it is not a verified probability of an Up or Down result.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average HYPE/USD price over one five-minute window, as reported in a specified Chainlink data stream, ends at or above its starting level [1]. This is narrower than a general view on HYPE's price. Using a TWAP rather than a single print means the result depends on the average across the window, and the specified stream fixes which price data is used [1]. Readers should check the exact window, the Chainlink stream, and the equality rule before interpreting the contract.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Up outcome require?
Up requires the TWAP over the stated window to be greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window [1].
What happens if the TWAP equals the starting price?
The rules specify that the market resolves to Up when the TWAP is greater than or equal to the starting price [1].
Which price data determines the result?
The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules say other sources or spot markets do not determine the outcome [1].
When does this contract's window end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T08:25:00Z, which corresponds to the close of the 4:20AM to 4:25AM ET window named in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
PM $0Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
PM $0Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
PM $0Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
PM $0Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
PM $0
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.