Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
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Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T09:00:05.939Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single binary contract on Polymarket titled "Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET" [1]. According to the source, the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the SOL/USD TWAP data stream named in the rules, and the rules state the market is "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-28T01:50:00.000Z, which corresponds to 9:50 PM ET on October 27 [1]. That is the contract's listed close, not a confirmed resolution. The source does not report a resolution outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation is timestamped 2026-10-27T09:00:05.939Z, and the evidence was retrieved at 2026-10-27T10:28:26.318Z [1]. The prices below describe that earlier observation, not current trading:
- Up: 0.505
- Down: 0.495
These are snapshot prices from a single provider event. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The two outcomes sum to 1.000 in this record, and the gap between them is small. The source does not explain why the prices stood where they did, so no cause should be inferred.
The sample covers one market in this event. Coverage reports one total market, one included, and no partial sample [1]. Because this is the only market in the saved event, no comparison with other contracts is possible from this evidence.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include live prices, trading activity beyond the snapshot, liquidity depth, or the number of participants. Volume is not part of this record, so it cannot indicate liquidity or trader count. The evidence also does not show the Solana price at the start or end of the 9:45 PM to 9:50 PM ET range, so the outcome cannot be determined from the material provided.
Readers comparing this contract with similar Solana contracts on other platforms should check each contract's wording, resolution source, and listed close time. Differences in those terms can change what a price means, so prices should not be treated as directly comparable without that review.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T09:00:05.939Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window Solana price contract listed on Polymarket and titled "Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET" [1]. The contract asks whether the price of Solana, measured over the time range in its title, will finish up or down relative to where that range began. According to the contract rules, it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana over that range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The measurement is defined by a specific data feed rather than by general market prices. The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price shown by this Chainlink data stream for the SOL/USD pair, and not any other source or spot market [1]. This means the outcome depends on that feed's values, which can differ from prices quoted on individual exchanges. The source describes the contract as active when it was saved, with a listed end time of 2026-10-28T01:50:00Z [1]. That listed end time is the close of the contract, not a record of when the outcome was determined. The title's time window and the listed end time are both taken from the provider record, and this entry does not state the final result.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of Solana's price over a five-minute window, as defined by a Chainlink TWAP data stream [1]. Because the result compares a time-weighted average against the price at the start of the window, the outcome reflects the averaged feed value rather than a single price at the window's close [1]. The rule that only this data stream counts means traders and readers need to understand that feed's definition to interpret the contract correctly [1]. The contract's prices reflect what the market was listing at a given moment and do not establish the likelihood of either outcome.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The contract resolves to "Up" if the TWAP of Solana over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1].
Which price data does the contract use?
It uses the SOL/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink with a 60-second interval, and the rules say it does not use other sources or spot markets [1].
When does this contract end?
The saved provider record lists an end time of 2026-10-28T01:50:00Z [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.