Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
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Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T21:00:06.613Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket event asks whether Dogecoin will move up or down over a 15-minute window, "October 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET." The rules say the market "will resolve to 'Up' if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to 'Down'" [1].
The resolution source is Chainlink's DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a different Dogecoin market should check whether that market uses the same data stream, the same averaging method, and the same window.
The title gives the window in Eastern Time, while the saved listed end time is 2026-10-28T17:15:00.000Z [1]. Readers should confirm that these two time references describe the same closing moment before comparing them with other listings.
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation is from 2026-10-27T21:00:06.613Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-27T21:10:10.113Z [1]. These are times from the saved record, not live readings. The market status was "active" at that snapshot, so it had not resolved.
At the snapshot, the quoted prices were 0.5 for "Up" and 0.5 for "Down" [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The record does not include order book depth, spreads, or trade volume, so it does not show how easily a position could have been entered or exited.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record reports 1 total market, 1 included market, and no partial sample [1]. This sample describes only this saved event. It does not establish that Polymarket or any other platform lists every possible Dogecoin contract, and no comparison with other platforms is supplied here.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices sit at 0.5, and it does not show trader counts or recent news. It also does not say what the Chainlink TWAP will be during the window or what the final outcome will be. The contract's resolution depends on data that had not been observed at the time of this snapshot.
Any change in these prices after the saved observation time is not shown in the supplied evidence. Readers should treat this record as a point-in-time description of contract wording and quoted prices, not a current forecast.
References
- Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T21:00:06.613Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term price contract on Dogecoin, titled "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET." It asks whether the price of DOGE against USD over a 15-minute window ends higher or lower than where it started. The contract's rules say it will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink's DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, identified in the rules as a 60-second TWAP stream [1]. The rules also say the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream for DOGE/USD, and not according to any other sources or spot markets [1]. That distinction matters because a Dogecoin price on an exchange or aggregator could differ from the figure this contract uses. The contract is listed on Polymarket as a crypto market in the event category [1]. The provider record lists the status as active and gives a listed end time of 2026-10-28T17:15:00.000Z [1]. The listed end time is the contract's closing point under its rules. It is not a report that any outcome has occurred, and the saved record does not contain a settled result.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of Dogecoin's price over one 15-minute window, as defined by a specific data feed. Its rules compare the time-weighted average price over the window with the price at the window's start, so the outcome depends on how the price moved across the interval rather than on a single moment [1]. Because resolution follows the Chainlink stream and not general market prices, a reader needs to understand that feed's definition to interpret the contract correctly [1]. The listed prices for the two outcomes are a snapshot from the provider at the time of retrieval, and they are not guaranteed trade prices or verified probabilities.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
It resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP over the 1:00PM to 1:15PM ET window is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
Which price source is used for resolution?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second TWAP setting. The rules state that other sources or spot markets do not determine the outcome [1].
When does the contract end?
The provider record gives a listed end time of 2026-10-28T17:15:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's stated closing time, and it is separate from the date when the outcome is checked or reported.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.