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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

Apple (AAPL) closes week of Apr 27 at ___?

Name: Apple (AAPL) closes week of Apr 27 at ___?
End: 2026-05-01T20:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$34.57K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Apple (AAPL) closes week of Apr 27 at ___?

Vol

$34.57K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $34.57K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $34.57K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will Apple (AAPL) close at $280-$285 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $280-$285 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	Poly	100%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at <$250 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	Poly	0%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $250-$255 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	Poly	0%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $255-$260 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	Poly	0%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $260-$265 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	Poly	0%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $265-$270 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	Poly	0%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $270-$275 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	Poly	0%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $275-$280 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	Poly	0%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	Poly	0%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $290-$295 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	Poly	0%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at >$295 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$34.57K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is pub

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Apple (AAPL) closes week of Apr 27 at ___?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 1, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is pub

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final session of the we"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $34.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $30.9K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.12)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Apple (AAPL) close at <$250 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Apple (AAPL) close at $250-$255 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $427
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Apple (AAPL) close at $255-$260 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $330
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Apple (AAPL) close at $260-$265 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $353
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Apple (AAPL) close at $265-$270 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $283
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Apple (AAPL) close at $270-$275 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $485
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Apple (AAPL) close at $275-$280 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $15.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Apple (AAPL) close at $280-$285 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $14.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Apple (AAPL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $348
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Apple (AAPL) close at $290-$295 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $349
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Apple (AAPL) close at >$295 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $550
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETFinance