ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T15:00:05.906Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract on the ZCash price, titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET" [1]. The rules state that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules say the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a different ZCash market should check whether that market uses the same data stream, time window, and comparison rule.
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T14:05:00.000Z [1]. This is a contract closing time, not evidence that a resolution has occurred. The supplied evidence does not show a resolution.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-10-25T15:00:05.906Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-25T16:05:02.038Z [1]. Both times describe this saved snapshot only. The provider status at retrieval was "active" [1].
The saved snapshot shows two outcomes, "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Equal prices in one observation do not show which outcome the market favors, and they do not reflect any trader count or liquidity. The evidence includes no volume or order book data for this contract.
The sample covers one market from one platform, and no other markets for this event are included [1]. Because there is no second contract in the evidence, no cross-contract or cross-platform comparison is possible here.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include a price after the observation time, so it cannot describe current pricing. It also does not explain any price movement, identify who is trading, or indicate how the TWAP will compare with the starting price. The final result depends on the Chainlink data stream during the stated five-minute window, which is not in the supplied evidence.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T15:00:05.906Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 25, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term crypto contract on ZCash, titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET" and listed on Polymarket [1]. The contract asks whether the price of ZCash in one five-minute window will finish at or above where it started. The listed end time is 2026-10-26T14:05:00.000Z [1]. The contract has two outcomes, "Up" and "Down" [1]. Under its rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The rules tie the outcome to a specific measurement, so the window's average is compared with the starting price rather than with the price at the close. The resolution source is Chainlink's ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, which the rules identify as a 60-second TWAP stream [1]. The rules state that only this Chainlink price data counts, and not other sources or spot markets [1]. Anyone reading the market should therefore focus on that data stream rather than on prices quoted elsewhere. The event record provides a snapshot taken at 2026-10-25T15:00:05.906Z, with the source retrieved at 2026-10-25T16:05:02.040Z [1]. At that snapshot the event was listed as active, and both outcomes were priced at 0.5 [1]. That reflects the saved record at that time, not the state of the market today or at resolution.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of ZCash's price over one five-minute window, using a time-weighted average from Chainlink's data stream [1]. Because the outcome compares that average with the price at the start of the window, the contract is about the relationship between the window's average and its opening level, not simply the closing price [1]. The rules say the contract covers only the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP stream and not other spot markets or sources [1]. This narrow definition determines which price data settles the market.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-25 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
How does this contract decide between Up and Down?
It resolves to "Up" if the TWAP of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1].
Which price data is used for resolution?
The resolution source is Chainlink's ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market concerns only that stream, not other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the contract's listed window end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T14:05:00.000Z [1].
Do the prices shown in the record tell me the likely outcome?
The record shows both outcomes at 0.5 in a snapshot taken on 2026-10-25 [1]. That snapshot is a saved observation, not an executable quote or a verified probability, and it does not indicate how the window will resolve.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.