KenPom Ratings on Mar 8: #1 Ranked Team
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KenPom Ratings on Mar 8: #1 Ranked Team
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Vanderbilt at 47.5%.
Kalshi
- Vanderbilt47.5%
- Virginia47.5%
- Kentucky47.5%
- UCLA47.5%
- Texas Tech47.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
25
Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
#1 (Mar 8, 2027) If X is ranked #1 on the 2027 Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings on Mar 8, 2027 at 12:00pm EST, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution is determined solely by the KenPom ratings on Mar 8, 2027 at 12:00pm EST. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-09T15:00:07.937Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This event asks which team will be ranked first on the Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings at a specific time. The source states: "If X is ranked #1 on the 2027 Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings on Mar 8, 2027 at 12:00pm EST, then the market resolves to Yes." [1] Resolution is "determined solely by the KenPom ratings on Mar 8, 2027 at 12:00pm EST." [1] Each team has its own Yes or No contract, so a team's Yes price reflects only whether that team holds the top spot at that moment.
The source also says the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs." [1] The retrieved market records show an end date of 2028-03-07T17:00:00.000Z, but the same source lists the end time as "not supplied." [1] Treat that date as a platform field, not as the resolution time. The resolution check is the March 8, 2027 rating at 12:00pm EST.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-11-09T15:00:07.937Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-09T17:54:23.858Z. These prices describe the earlier observation, not current market conditions.
The sample covers 12 of 25 markets in this Kalshi event. Every included team shows a Yes price of 0.495 and a No price of 0.505. The selection method ranks by Yes price and then by volume, but all included Yes prices are identical, so the excerpt does not explain why these 12 teams were chosen. Omitted teams should not be assumed to have lower prices.
Identical snapshot prices show no difference among the included contracts at that moment. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Volume reflects trading activity, not liquidity or the number of traders.
What remains uncertain
Only one provider and one event are supplied, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. The March 8, 2027 ratings outcome is not known from this evidence. The partial sample leaves 13 markets unseen, the listed end time conflicts with the source note, and the evidence does not explain the matching prices.
References
- Kalshi: KenPom Ratings on Mar 8: #1 Ranked Team. Provider data observed 2026-11-09T15:00:07.937Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 9, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
The KenPom Ratings on Mar 8: #1 Ranked Team contract asks whether a named college basketball team will be ranked first in the 2027 Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings at a specific moment on March 8, 2027 [1]. Under the rules, a market resolves to Yes if the named team is ranked #1 at 12:00pm EST on that date [1]. The outcome is determined solely by the KenPom ratings at that time, so the contract turns on one ratings check rather than on game results or a season-long record [1]. The event contains a separate market for each listed team, and each market has Yes and No outcomes [1]. The rules also say the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The provider reports the event as active and does not supply a listed end time [1]. The rules state that Kalshi is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or officially connected to the NCAA, and that trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners [1]. The saved market data shows each included team's Yes price as 0.495 and its No price as 0.505 [1]. These are snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The sample includes 12 of the 25 markets saved for this event, so it does not represent the full set of teams [1]. Because the included prices are identical, the sample gives no basis for ranking the teams by likelihood of finishing first. The stored records also list an end date of March 7, 2028 at 17:00 UTC [1]. That value is a data field and is not the resolution time set out in the rules, which specify 12:00pm EST on March 8, 2027 [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures where a team stands in the KenPom ratings at one specified time, 12:00pm EST on March 8, 2027 [1]. Because the check happens at a single moment, a team's ranking at other times does not determine the result [1]. Each team is a separate contract within the same event, so a price difference between two team markets should not be read as an arbitrage opportunity without further analysis [1]. The early-close provision means a market can end before March 8, 2027 if the event occurs, according to the rules [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-09 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether a market resolves to Yes?
The market resolves to Yes if the named team is ranked #1 on the 2027 Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings at 12:00pm EST on March 8, 2027 [1]. The rules state that resolution is determined solely by the KenPom ratings at that time [1].
Can the market close before the resolution date?
Yes. The rules state that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The provider does not supply a listed end time in the excerpt [1].
Is Kalshi connected to the NCAA?
The rules state that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, or endorsed by the NCAA, and is not officially connected with it in any way [1].
Do the listed prices show which team is most likely to be ranked first?
No. The sample shows identical Yes prices of 0.495 and No prices of 0.505 for the twelve included teams [1]. These are snapshot prices, and the sample covers only part of the event's 25 markets [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
