The Game Awards: Game of the Year
PM $89.2K
1
24
The Game Awards: Game of the Year
PM $89.2K
1
24
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Grand Theft Auto VI at 81.5%.
Polymarket
- Grand Theft Auto VI81.5%
- Resident Evil Requiem8.5%
- Crimson Desert4.5%
- Phantom Blade Zero3.1%
- Control Resonant2.6%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $89.2K
Reported volume · provider units
24
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event "The Game Awards: Game of the Year" contains yes-or-no contracts tied to the 2026 Game Awards. Its resolution rule states: "If X has won Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards, then the market resolves to Yes." [1] Each contract names one title in its question, such as "2026 Game of the Year? (Grand Theft Auto VI)." The source also says the market "will close following the release of the winners of the Game Awards." [1] Resolution therefore depends on the winners' release, not on a calendar date.
Every included contract lists an end date of 2027-12-31T15:00:00.000Z [1]. This is a provider-recorded end date, not an announced date for the ceremony or the winners' release. The source states that the event's listed end time is not supplied [1].
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z and retrieved at 2026-10-15T16:53:21.502Z [1]. They describe that saved observation and may not match current trading.
The event has 20 markets, and this snapshot includes 12 of them. The sample is ordered by Yes price, highest first, with volume as a secondary sort [1]. The eight omitted markets are not shown here, so their absence should not be read as lower prices or as a complete ranking of the field.
Among the included contracts, the Grand Theft Auto VI contract shows a Yes price of 0.71, Resident Evil Requiem shows 0.135, and Phantom Blade Zero shows 0.055 [1]. Several other included contracts show a Yes price of 0.005 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Because only part of the event is included, the prices should not be summed or treated as a full distribution.
What remains uncertain
The supplied evidence does not establish the date of the 2026 Game Awards or when the winners will be released. It also does not confirm the listed end dates as event dates, and it gives no end time for the event. The evidence does not explain why any contract is priced as it is. Volume and trader counts are not included, so this comparison makes no claims about liquidity. Prices can change after the observation, so readers should check the current provider page before relying on them.
References
- Kalshi: The Game Awards: Game of the Year. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
The Game Award for Game of the Year is presented annually by The Game Awards, an awards ceremony that honors achievements in the video game industry [3]. According to background material, the award is given to a video game judged to deliver the best experience across creative and technical fields [2]. The award is traditionally accepted by the game's directors or studio executives [2]. The nomination and voting process begins with more than 100 video game publications and websites, which collectively name six games as nominees [2]. After the nominees are selected, the winner is chosen by a combined vote in which the jury accounts for 90% and public voting accounts for 10% [2]. The Kalshi contract under review, titled The Game Awards: Game of the Year, is tied to the 2026 edition of this award. It resolves to Yes if the named game wins Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards [1]. The contract states that the market will close following the release of the winners [1]. The provider record does not supply a listed end time [1], so the contract rules do not establish a specific closing date or ceremony date. The provider also states that the market and its products have not been endorsed by the Game Awards, and that references to the Game Awards are descriptive only [1]. The market is one of several Kalshi contracts within a single provider event, each asking whether a different named game will win the award [1]. Each contract is a separate yes or no question, so the contracts are not a ranking of a complete field of nominees.
Historical Context
The Game Awards is an annual ceremony established in 2014 [3]. Its predecessor was the Spike Video Game Awards, which Geoff Keighley worked on for over ten years before creating the newer show with several video game companies [3]. Beyond the awards, the ceremony features premieres of upcoming games and new information on previously announced titles [3]. Background material describes the show's reception as generally mixed, praised for its announcements and criticized for its lack of acknowledgement of events, use of promotional content, and treatment of award winners [3].
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single outcome: whether a specific named game wins Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards [1]. Because the award is decided by a combined jury and public vote after a nominee list drawn from more than 100 outlets [2], the outcome depends on that voting process rather than on any single observable event before the winners are announced. The contract's settlement therefore depends on the official winners announcement that closes the market [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether a Yes contract resolves?
The contract resolves to Yes if the named game wins Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards [1].
When does the market close?
The contract states that it will close following the release of the winners of the Game Awards [1]. The provider record does not supply a listed end time, so no closing date is established by the contract rules [1].
How is the winner chosen?
After more than 100 publications and websites collectively name six nominees, the winner is chosen by a combined vote in which the jury accounts for 90% and public voting accounts for 10% [2].
Is the Game Awards affiliated with this contract?
The provider states that the market and its products have not been endorsed by the Game Awards, and that references to the Game Awards are descriptive only and do not indicate an affiliation [1].
Does this market cover every nominee?
The saved provider event includes 12 of 20 markets, so the sample is partial and does not represent the full set of games in the event [1]. Each contract is a separate yes or no question, and the sample does not establish a complete ranking.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
