Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?

Total Volume

$111.13K

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Markets

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When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?

Vol

$111.13K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $111.13K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $111.13K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	33%
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Dec 1, 2026?	Kalshi	22%
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	10%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

33%

Top Probability

$111.13K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Product feature rollout If an OpenAI product has implemented a general-purpose personal AI agent that remembers the user and starts multi-step tasks across third-party apps on its own before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. The function must be live and processing user interactions, not explicitly labeled as "beta," "test," "experimental," "preview," or "early access" or similar, and officially acknowledged by the company through announcements, documentation, or help pages. Implementatio

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Product feature rollout

If an OpenAI product has implemented a general-purpose personal AI agent that remembers the user and starts multi-step tasks across third-party apps on its own before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. The function must be live and processing user interactions, not explicitly labeled as "beta," "test," "experimental," "preview," or "early access" or similar, and officially acknowledged by the company through announcements, documentation, or help pages. Implementatio

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If an OpenAI product has implemented a general-purpose personal AI agent that remembers the user and starts multi-step tasks across third-party apps on its own before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The function must be live and processing user interactions, not explic"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $111.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $27.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $47.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Dec 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $36.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?

Volume$111.13K

Markets3

3 of 3

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KALSHI

Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 33.0¢No 67.0¢

KALSHITech

Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?

If an OpenAI product has implemented a general-purpose personal AI agent that remembers the user and starts multi-step tasks across third-party apps on its own before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The function must be live and processing user interactions, not explic

KALSHI

Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Dec 1, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 21.5¢No 78.5¢

KALSHITech

Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Dec 1, 2026?

If an OpenAI product has implemented a general-purpose personal AI agent that remembers the user and starts multi-step tasks across third-party apps on its own before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The function must be live and processing user interactions, not explic

KALSHI

Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Nov 1, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢

KALSHITech

Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Nov 1, 2026?

If an OpenAI product has implemented a general-purpose personal AI agent that remembers the user and starts multi-step tasks across third-party apps on its own before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The function must be live and processing user interactions, not explic

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When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?

When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?

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Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?

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Events (1)

When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?

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Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?

Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?

Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Dec 1, 2026?

Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Dec 1, 2026?

Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Nov 1, 2026?

Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Nov 1, 2026?

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Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?

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When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?

Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?

Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?

Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Dec 1, 2026?

Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Dec 1, 2026?

Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Nov 1, 2026?

Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Nov 1, 2026?

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