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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Name: LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
End: 2026-04-15T15:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.22M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Vol

$1.22M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.22M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.22M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$1.22M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the LoL match between Ultra Prime and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for April 15 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ultra Prime" if Ultra Prime win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against Ultra Prime. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 15, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL match between Ultra Prime and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for April 15 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Ultra Prime" if Ultra Prime win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming.

This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against Ultra Prime.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy inhibitor during Game 1. In League of Legends, each team has three inhibitors (one in each lane), located behind the inner turrets.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Ultra Prime and ThunderTalk Gaming each destroy at least o"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $96
* **Total Liquidity:** $1
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 128.57)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 15, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 15, 2026): Vol $24
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 15, 2026): Vol $43
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 15, 2026): Vol $24
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Volume$1.22M

Markets6

6 of 6

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy inhibitor during Game 1. In League of Legends, each team has three inhibitors (one in each lane), located behind the inner turrets. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Ultra Prime and ThunderTalk Gaming each destroy at least o

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 1. This marke

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 2. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. This market

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Average Yes Price

50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/nnLVNk" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana"></iframe>

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LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

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Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Markets (6)

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

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