Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television

Total Volume

$3.66K

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Markets

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Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television

Vol

$3.66K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $3.66K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.66K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Will David Harbour be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Will David Harbour be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	96%
Will Charles Melton be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	76%
Will Jason Bateman be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	71%
Will Hoon Lee be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	56%
Will Richard Jenkins be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	41%
Will Timothy Olyphant be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	36%
Will Richard Gadd be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	36%
Will Mike Faist be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	36%
Will John Slattery be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	36%
Will Joel Kinnaman be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	36%
Will Drew Starkey be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	36%
Will Corey Stoll be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	36%
Will Ciarán Hinds be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	36%
Will Alessandro Nivola be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	36%
Will Adam DiMarco be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	36%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

96%

Top Probability

$3.66K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television | 32 If X is on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, log

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television | 32

If X is on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, log

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Timothy Olyphant is on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Timothy Olyphant be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Richard Jenkins be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Richard Gadd be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Mike Faist be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will John Slattery be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Joel Kinnaman be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Jason Bateman be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 70.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Hoon Lee be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $202
  DATA: [Yes: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Drew Starkey be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will David Harbour be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Corey Stoll be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Charles Melton be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 75.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Ciarán Hinds be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Alessandro Nivola be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Adam DiMarco be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television

Volume$3.66K

Markets15

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KALSHI

Will David Harbour be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will David Harbour be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

If David Harbour is on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. K

KALSHI

Will Charles Melton be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 75.5¢No 24.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Charles Melton be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

If Charles Melton is on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026.

KALSHI

Will Jason Bateman be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 70.5¢No 29.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jason Bateman be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

If Jason Bateman is on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. K

KALSHI

Will Hoon Lee be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 56.0¢No 44.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Hoon Lee be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

If Hoon Lee is on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. Kalshi

KALSHI

Will Richard Jenkins be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 40.5¢No 59.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Richard Jenkins be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

If Richard Jenkins is on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026.

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Average Yes Price

46¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/nnrA8I" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television"></iframe>

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Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will David Harbour be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television

Markets (15)

Will David Harbour be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will David Harbour be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Charles Melton be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Charles Melton be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Jason Bateman be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Jason Bateman be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Hoon Lee be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Hoon Lee be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Richard Jenkins be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Richard Jenkins be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

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Will David Harbour be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television

Will David Harbour be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will David Harbour be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Charles Melton be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Charles Melton be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Jason Bateman be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Jason Bateman be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Hoon Lee be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Hoon Lee be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Richard Jenkins be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Richard Jenkins be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

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