ZCash Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T09:00:06.399Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract on the ZCash price over a five-minute window, titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET" [1]. Its rule states that the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The comparison is therefore between a time-weighted average over the window and the starting price, not a closing spot price.
The rule also specifies the data source. The resolution source is "information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream" [1], and the provider notes that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a ZCash price quoted on an exchange or another data feed should expect that the wording and source may produce different results.
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T08:25:00.000Z [1].
Reading the snapshot
The saved market shows an "Up" price of 0.5 and a "Down" price of 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The provider observation time is 2026-10-26T09:00:06.399Z, and the retrieval time is 2026-10-26T11:15:30.408Z [1]. Both times are earlier than the current date supplied with this evidence, so this snapshot should not be read as a description of present conditions.
The sample covers one market for one provider event. The coverage record reports one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. Because the sample is complete for this event, there is no omitted outcome to compare against. Volume is not reported in this excerpt, so nothing can be said about liquidity or the number of traders.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain the equal prices, and it does not show why either side might move. It also does not include the price at the start of the window or the TWAP result, so the outcome cannot be determined from the supplied material. The provider status was "active" at the observation time [1], but the evidence does not establish the status at any later time.
Because this is a single contract, the snapshot does not support comparison with other ZCash contracts or with prices on other platforms. Differences in wording, source, or listed close time would need to be checked before any comparison is drawn.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T09:00:06.399Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-window price contract on Polymarket that asks whether the price of ZCash (ZEC) in US dollars will finish a five-minute interval higher or lower than where it started. The market is titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET" and is listed in the crypto category [1]. Its rules state that it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZEC over the window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The rules tie the outcome to a specific data feed rather than to any exchange or spot market. The stated resolution source is Chainlink's ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market reflects only that feed, not other sources or spot markets [1]. This matters because a TWAP averages prices over time, so a brief spike or dip near the start or end of the window does not decide the result on its own. The comparison is between the averaged price across the window and the starting price. The listing shows two outcomes, Up and Down, each priced at 0.5 in a snapshot observed at 2026-10-26T09:00:06Z [1]. A snapshot records what the platform displayed at one moment. It is not an executable quote, and it is not a verified probability that either outcome will occur. The listed end time is 2026-10-27T08:25:00Z, which is the close of the window named in the title [1]. The market had not resolved when the record was retrieved, so the final outcome is not part of this evidence.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of ZEC's price over one specific five-minute window, as recorded by one named data feed [1]. Because it resolves on a TWAP compared with a starting price, it reflects average price movement across the interval rather than a single trade at the close. The rules explicitly limit the market to the Chainlink stream, so readers should not treat it as a general measure of ZEC's price on all exchanges [1]. The displayed prices of 0.5 for each side describe the market's listing at the observation time only. They do not show how traders would be filled, and they do not indicate which outcome is more likely [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does an Up result mean for this contract?
According to the rules, the market resolves to Up if the ZEC/USD TWAP over the 4:20AM to 4:25AM ET window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window [1].
Which price source decides the outcome?
The resolution source is Chainlink's ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say other sources and spot markets do not determine the result [1].
Does a price of 0.5 mean each outcome has a 50 percent chance?
No. The listing showed each outcome at 0.5 in a snapshot taken at 2026-10-26T09:00:06Z [1]. A snapshot is not an executable quote or a verified probability, so it should not be read as a forecast.
When does the market close?
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T08:25:00Z, which marks the end of the window in the title [1]. The evidence does not show a final resolution.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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