Snapshot observed 2026-11-05T06:00:06.203Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

Each market in this sample asks whether a named player will win the Finals MVP of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship, with a Yes or No outcome [1]. The rules say the market resolves according to the player named Finals MVP of the Grand Final, and that the resolution source is official information from Riot Games via the LoL Esports website, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].

The rules include a fallback. If the tournament is postponed after November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or no Finals MVP is declared in that timeframe, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. If a tie produces several Finals MVPs, the win goes to the player whose in-game name comes first alphabetically [1]. The rules also describe a schedule of October 15 to November 14, 2026 for the tournament and a Grand Final on November 14, 2026 [1]. These are contract descriptions, not confirmation that the event occurred on those dates.

The listed end time is 2026-11-29T04:59:00Z [1]. This is the contract's closing time, which is separate from the actual resolution, and the saved evidence does not show whether or when any market has resolved.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-11-05 06:00 UTC, and the source was retrieved at 08:22 UTC the same day [1]. These prices describe that snapshot only. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they may have changed since.

Within the sample, the highest Yes prices are for Kiin at 0.1855 and Chovy at 0.185, followed by Peyz at 0.12 and Ruler at 0.1165 [1]. The lowest included Yes price is Doran at 0.0255 [1]. Each row is a separate binary contract, so these figures should not be combined into a single average or compared as if they were one ranking of a full field.

The sample is partial. The provider event contains 52 markets, and only 12 are included [1]. The selection note says included markets were ordered by Yes price, but the saved evidence contains no prices for the 40 omitted markets. Readers should not infer their prices or outcomes from this list.

Volume is not included in the data shown here, so no conclusions about liquidity or trader participation can be drawn.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why any price is where it is, and this analysis does not attribute movements to news or events. It also does not show whether the tournament will proceed as scheduled, whether a Finals MVP will be declared before the postponement cutoff, or how the "Other" outcome is priced, since that outcome is not in the included sample.

Readers comparing this contract with markets on other platforms should check wording, resolution sources, and listed close times first. Small price differences between differently worded contracts do not by themselves indicate an opportunity.

References

1. Polymarket: Worlds 2026: Finals MVP. Provider data observed 2026-11-05T06:00:06.203Z.