Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T06:00:05.981Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This contract covers the ZCash price over a single 15-minute window, from 1:45AM to 2:00AM ET on October 28, as named in its title [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) for that window is "greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range," and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the source states that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. Any comparison with another ZCash market should start with this wording, because a contract using a different source, window, or comparison rule measures something else.

The listed end time is 2026-10-28T06:00:00.000Z [1]. That is the close of the contract, not a confirmed resolution. The record shows the contract as active, with no resolved outcome.

Reading the snapshot

The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-27T06:00:05.981Z and retrieved at 2026-10-27T06:46:26.711Z [1]. These are two separate times, and the observation is the more relevant one for the prices. The provider reported "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. Those are the only prices in the record, so the reader can see that the two outcomes were quoted at equal values at that observation time. The record does not show trading volume, depth, or spreads, so it cannot show how easily either side could be traded.

The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record lists one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. Even so, this describes the saved provider event only. It does not establish that Polymarket lists every possible outcome for this window, and no other outcomes are shown here.

What remains uncertain

The snapshot is a recorded price, not an executable quote or a verified probability. The record does not explain why the prices are equal, and it does not show how many participants hold either position. It also does not show any outcome of the TWAP calculation, because the window had not closed when the snapshot was taken [1]. Readers should not treat the equal prices as a forecast of the result or compare them with prices on other platforms without first checking that the contract wording, source, and close time match.

References

1. Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T06:00:05.981Z.