Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

The contract titled "Bitcoin price at the end of 2026" is a Kalshi event that asks where Bitcoin's price will sit at a set time at the start of 2027 [3]. According to the listed rules, a bracket resolves to Yes if the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST on January 1, 2027 falls within that bracket's range [3]. The event contains several separate price ranges, so each bracket is its own yes or no contract rather than one question about a single number [3]. The rules say the market uses CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index and not a general price check on other sites. The rules note that checking a source such as Google or Coinbase may help guide a decision, but the settlement price is based on the index [3]. At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected, and the official value is their average [3]. A related Kalshi event, "When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?", uses different rules. It settles on the BRTI using a trimmed mean, which removes the top and bottom 20 percent of per-minute values and averages the rest [1]. That event can resolve early if the threshold is crossed during the measurement period [1]. A Polymarket event titled "When will Bitcoin hit $100k?" uses a different rule: it resolves to Yes if any one-minute Binance BTC/USDT candle high reaches $100,000 before the stated end, and it names only that trading pair as the source [2]. At the observation time, the end-of-2026 bracket prices were low at the top of the range and higher in the middle. For example, the 60,000 to 64,999.99 bracket showed a Yes price of 0.215 and the 65,000 to 69,999.99 bracket showed 0.2035 [3]. The 90,000 to 94,999.99 bracket showed 0.011 [3]. These are last recorded prices. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The sample includes 12 of the 28 brackets the provider lists for this event, so the omitted ranges should not be assumed to have any particular price. The provider reports 48,097,874 contracts of volume for this event, which measures trading activity in contract units and does not indicate liquidity or the number of traders [3]. The bracket markets carry a provider close field of January 8, 2027 [3]. That date is a field in the provider data and not an announced event. The rules reference the January 1, 2027 measurement time [3].

Historical Context

Bitcoin is a cryptocurrency that uses cryptography to control its creation and management rather than relying on central authorities [4]. Bitcoin was invented in 2008, when an unknown person published a white paper under the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto, and its open-source implementation was released in 2009 [5]. Its history has included rapid growth to become a significant store of value, and from the mid-2010s some businesses began accepting it alongside traditional currencies [4]. From 2021 to 2025, El Salvador adopted bitcoin as legal tender before revoking that status [5]. Because bitcoin is pseudonymous, its use by criminals has drawn regulatory attention, and several countries have banned it [5]. These sources describe background only and do not describe the market conditions behind the 2026 price levels shown above.

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