Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T15:00:05.906Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single binary market on Polymarket titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET" [1]. Its rule is that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T14:25:00.000Z [1]. The title uses Eastern Time, so readers comparing it with other contracts should confirm how the UTC listing maps to the stated window.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-25T15:00:05.906Z and retrieved at 2026-10-25T17:38:45.442Z [1]. These are different times, and neither is the contract's close. The quoted prices describe the saved observation only and should not be treated as current.
At that observation, the Up outcome was priced at 0.505 and the Down outcome at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The gap between them is small, and this single record does not explain why the prices stood where they did. The provider status was recorded as active [1].
Coverage is complete for this saved event: one market was reported and one was included, with no partial sample flagged [1]. The saved record does not include volume or any count of traders, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold each side.
Because this is one market, there is no cross-platform comparison here. Other Hyperliquid contracts with different windows, reference sources, or close times should not be compared directly with these prices, since their rules may differ.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the prices at the time you read this, the price at the start of the 10:20 to 10:25 AM ET window, or the eventual resolution. It also does not include the Chainlink TWAP values themselves. The sample warning notes that the provider record does not establish that every real-world outcome is listed [1]. For a binary contract like this, the two saved outcomes are the only ones recorded.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T15:00:05.906Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 25, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-interval price contract on Polymarket titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET" [1]. The contract is a binary market with two outcomes, "Up" and "Down" [1]. Its rules state that it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is named as information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules say the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream for the HYPE/USD pair, and not any other data source or spot market [1]. This means the outcome depends on one named feed, so a price quoted elsewhere for the same asset would not be the reference for this contract. The listed end time is 2026-10-26T14:25:00Z [1]. The rules describe that timestamp as the listed end of the contract, not as an announced event or a confirmed resolution time. The provider listed the event as active when it was retrieved [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average price of HYPE/USD in the Chainlink data stream over the stated five-minute window is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the comparison uses a time-weighted average, the outcome depends on the path of the stream across the window rather than only the final value. The rules define the contract by this single feed, which makes the feed's definition the central fact for anyone reading the market. At the observation recorded for this entry, the platform showed "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices from that observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of either outcome.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-25 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What must happen for the market to resolve Up?
The market resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which data source decides the outcome?
The resolution source is Chainlink's HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say other sources or spot markets are not the reference [1].
Does a price near 0.50 mean either outcome is more likely?
The recorded prices were 0.505 for Up and 0.495 for Down at the observation time [1]. These snapshot prices do not establish that either outcome is more likely, and they are not executable quotes.
When does the listed contract end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T14:25:00Z, and the provider listed the event as active when it was retrieved [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.