GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

US gasoline CPI for July

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US gasoline CPI for July

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

18 markets tracked

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 300ㅤ?

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Single-Platform Markets(18)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 300ㅤ?	Kalshi	51%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 310ㅤ?	Kalshi	51%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 320ㅤ?	Kalshi	51%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 330ㅤ?	Kalshi	51%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 340ㅤ?	Kalshi	51%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 350ㅤ?	Kalshi	51%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 365ㅤ?	Kalshi	51%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 360ㅤ?	Kalshi	51%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 370ㅤ?	Kalshi	41%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 380ㅤ?	Kalshi	33%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 375ㅤ?	Kalshi	32%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 390ㅤ?	Kalshi	31%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 385ㅤ?	Kalshi	24%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 395ㅤ?	Kalshi	20%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 405ㅤ?	Kalshi	18%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 400ㅤ?	Kalshi	16%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 410ㅤ?	Kalshi	7%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 415ㅤ?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

51%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

July 2026 If the Gasoline, All Types, in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline, All Types, in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** US gasoline CPI for July
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** July 2026

If the Gasoline, All Types, in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline, All Types, in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 300ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seas"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 300ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 310ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 320ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 330ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 340ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 350ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 415ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 410ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 405ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 400ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 395ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 390ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 385ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 380ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 375ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 370ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 365ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 360ㅤ?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

US gasoline CPI for July

Volume$0.00

Markets18

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KALSHI

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 300ㅤ?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 300ㅤ?

If the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 300ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seas

KALSHI

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 310ㅤ?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 310ㅤ?

If the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 310ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seas

KALSHI

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 320ㅤ?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 320ㅤ?

If the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 320ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seas

KALSHI

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 330ㅤ?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 330ㅤ?

If the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 330ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seas

KALSHI

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 340ㅤ?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 340ㅤ?

If the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 340ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seas

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35¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/ohxnxI" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="US gasoline CPI for July"></iframe>

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US gasoline CPI for July

US gasoline CPI for July

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Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 300ㅤ?

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Events (1)

US gasoline CPI for July

Markets (18)

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 300ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 300ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 310ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 310ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 320ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 320ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 330ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 330ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 340ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 340ㅤ?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 300ㅤ?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

US gasoline CPI for July

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 300ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 300ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 310ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 310ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 320ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 320ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 330ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 330ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 340ㅤ?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 340ㅤ?

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Discussion

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