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Events
GroupKALSHI

Vogt vs Nishimura

Vogt vs Nishimura
Vol

K 910.83 contracts

|
Events

1

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Kayo Nishimura at 58.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Kayo Nishimura58.5%
  2. Marie Vogt38.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 910.83 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Vogt vs Nishimura (Nov 1) If X wins the Vogt vs Nishimura professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Monastir Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Vogt vs Nishimura professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Monastir Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation, all before the match starts, all markets will resolve to $0.50. If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketSports
W15 Monastir: Marie Vogt vs Kayo Nishimura

W15 Monastir: Marie Vogt vs Kayo Nishimura

PM $114.16
W15 Monastir: Marie Vogt vs Kayo NishimuraView outcomes
Set Handicap: Marie Vogt (-1.5) vs Kayo Nishimura (+1.5)View outcomes
Set Handicap: Kayo Nishimura (-1.5) vs Marie Vogt (+1.5)View outcomes
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketSports
W35 Hamamatsu: OTOHA FUKUMOTO vs Haruka Nishimura

W35 Hamamatsu: OTOHA FUKUMOTO vs Haruka Nishimura

PM $0
W35 Hamamatsu: OTOHA FUKUMOTO vs Haruka NishimuraView outcomes
Set Handicap: OTOHA FUKUMOTO (-1.5) vs Haruka Nishimura (+1.5)View outcomes
Set Handicap: Haruka Nishimura (-1.5) vs OTOHA FUKUMOTO (+1.5)View outcomes
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
AL Manager of the Year Winner

AL Manager of the Year Winner

K 557.8K contracts
Will Will Venable win AL MOTY?Yes 94.5%
Will Chad Tracy win AL MOTY?Yes 3%
Will Kevin Cash win AL MOTY?Yes 2%
+14 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketSports
MLB: AL Manager of the Year

MLB: AL Manager of the Year

PM $98.2K
Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?Yes 93.6%
Will Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?Yes 3%
Will Stephen Vogt win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?Yes 0.3%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Baseball: Managers Out

Pro Baseball: Managers Out

K 42.8K contracts
Which Pro Baseball Managers will be out before Dec 1, 2026? (Joe Espada)Yes 95%
Which Pro Baseball Managers will be out before Dec 1, 2026? (Walt Weiss)Yes 50%
Which Pro Baseball Managers will be out before Dec 1, 2026? (Terry Francona)Yes 50%
+22 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiSports
2027 Pro Football Champion

2027 Pro Football Champion

PM $70.76M · K 210.95M contracts

Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Kalshi: Will San Francisco win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 14.1%Rules differK Yes 15%

Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Kalshi: Will Buffalo win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 11.5%Rules differK Yes 11.5%

Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Kalshi: Will Kansas City win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 10.1%Rules differK Yes 9.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

32 saved comparisonsNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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