Los Angeles C vs Kansas City: Passing Completions
K 272.09 contracts
1
6
Los Angeles C vs Kansas City: Passing Completions
K 272.09 contracts
1
6
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 272.09 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
6
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
About This Event
LAC vs KC (Oct 18) If Justin Herbert records X passing completions in the Los Angeles C vs Kansas City Professional Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to Justin Herbert in the Los Angeles C vs Kansas City Professional Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If Justin Herbert is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Justin Herbert takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on passing completions recorded. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-17T03:00:06.448Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event asks about passing completions for Justin Herbert and Patrick Mahomes in a game the rules describe as "originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026" [1]. Each market is a threshold contract. For example, "Justin Herbert: 13+ passing completions" resolves to Yes if Herbert records that many completions [1]. The rules also state that if Herbert "is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start" [1]. The rules say the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1]. The provider event lists no end time, but each market carries an endDate of 2026-10-20T20:25:00.000Z [1]. That date is a listed close time in the saved data, not an announced event date.
Reading the snapshot
The saved data was observed at 2026-10-17T03:00:06.448Z and retrieved at 2026-10-17T05:27:54.838Z [1]. These times describe only this saved snapshot, and the prices below should not be read as current quotes.
For Herbert, Yes prices were 0.895 at 13+, 0.565 at 18+, and 0.19 at 23+ [1]. For Mahomes, Yes prices were 0.855 at 16+, 0.455 at 21+, and 0.12 at 26+ [1]. Within each player's ladder, higher thresholds carry lower Yes prices. The two ladders use different thresholds, so each market should be read on its own terms rather than compared as one field. All six markets come from one platform, so this sample supports no cross-platform comparison.
Prices are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
What remains uncertain
The coverage record lists 6 of 6 markets included, with partialSample set to false [1]. The sample warning adds that including all saved markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. The evidence does not explain why prices sit where they do, and it contains no volume or trader counts. Whether the game is played as described, and how each market ultimately settles, depends on events after this snapshot that the supplied evidence does not cover.
References
- Kalshi: Los Angeles C vs Kansas City: Passing Completions. Provider data observed 2026-10-17T03:00:06.448Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event titled "Los Angeles C vs Kansas City: Passing Completions," which concerns a Professional Football game listed as originally scheduled for October 18, 2026, with the abbreviations LAC and KC [1]. The event's contracts are tied to passing completions by individual quarterbacks. The official event page describes a market that resolves to Yes if Justin Herbert records a stated number of passing completions in that game [1]. The contract is binary in structure. Each market asks whether a player reaches a specific completion threshold, and the Yes or No outcome follows from the completions recorded. The event rules also address an unusual case. If the player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start rather than to a completion count [1]. Once the player takes at least one snap, the market settles based on the completions recorded, even if a snap is later nullified by penalty [1]. The rules also state that the market closes and expires early if the event occurs [1]. The event page lists its status as active and does not supply a listed end time [1]. The saved market records carry an end date field, but that field is a platform timestamp in the saved data and should not be read as an announced game date or a confirmed resolution time. The game's actual play, completion totals and final settlement are not described in the supplied evidence. Prices for these contracts are snapshots taken at a specific observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. Trading volume is not a measure of liquidity or the number of participants. Different thresholds or players within the same event can carry different prices, but those differences do not by themselves indicate an arbitrage opportunity.
Historical Context
The supplied background does not describe the October 2026 matchup itself. The only historical material is a Wikipedia summary of the Kansas City Chiefs' 2025 season, which says the team entered that season as the three-time defending AFC champions, started 0-2, reached a 5-3 record, and then went 1-8 in their final nine games [3]. That account concerns the 2025 season, not the 2026 game covered by this contract. A separate Wikipedia page on the Los Angeles Rams describes the team's league affiliation and home stadium, but it does not describe this event or its contracts [2].
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single quarterback's passing completions in one scheduled game, and its Yes or No result depends on whether that count meets the threshold in the contract title [1]. Because the rules define what happens when a player is active but does not take a snap, the contract also shows how the platform handles a specific form of non-participation [1]. Understanding these rules matters more than any single price, because the price is only a snapshot of what traders were quoting at one moment.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a passing completions contract measure?
According to the official event rules, a contract resolves to Yes if the named player records the stated number of passing completions in the game originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 [1].
What happens if the player is active but never takes a snap?
The official rules state that the market settles to the fair market price before game start in that case [1]. The rules do not describe how that price is calculated beyond this wording.
Does a nullified snap count toward settlement?
The rules say that once a player takes at least one snap, even if the snap is nullified by penalty, the market settles based on the passing completions recorded [1].
Is the price a probability of the outcome?
No. The prices shown are snapshots from a specific observation time. They are not executable quotes and should not be treated as verified probabilities.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
