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Events
GroupKALSHI

Mura Murska Sobota vs Nafta Lendava: BTTS

Mura Murska Sobota vs Nafta Lendava: BTTS
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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

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Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

MUR vs NAF (Oct 17) If Mura Murska Sobota and Nafta Lendava both score a goal in the Mura Murska Sobota vs Nafta Lendava Slovenian Prva Liga match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Own goals count towards the team awarded the goal. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The contract is a Kalshi "Both Teams To Score" market for the Slovenian Prva Liga match between Mura Murska Sobota and Nafta Lendava. The rules state that the market resolves to Yes if both teams score "after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties)" [1]. Own goals count toward the team awarded the goal [1]. The rules also say the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1].

The rules describe the match as "originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026" [1]. That wording records the original schedule and does not confirm when the match will be played.

Reading the snapshot

The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-16T21:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-17T00:28:26Z. It is not a live reading. At that observation time, the Yes outcome was priced at 0.59 and the No outcome at 0.41 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they describe only the moment they were recorded.

The sample covers one market from one provider event, and the record indicates that all saved markets for this event are included. This does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome for the match, but no other outcomes are supplied for comparison here. Because only one market appears, there is no cross-platform comparison and no basis for comparing this price with prices from other contracts.

The listed close times need care. The market record shows an end date of 2026-10-19T15:30:00Z [1]. The source excerpt, however, states "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. The evidence does not settle which value is correct, so readers should check the provider page before relying on either time. Neither value should be read as the match date.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why the Yes price stood at 0.59 at observation time, and it does not show any price movement over time. It also does not report how many people are trading, how much liquidity is available, or what happened in the match. A later reading may differ from this snapshot, and the saved record does not show whether the contract has since closed, expired, or resolved.

References

  1. Kalshi: Mura Murska Sobota vs Nafta Lendava: BTTS. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTC

Overview

This PredictPedia entry covers a Both Teams To Score (BTTS) contract on a Slovenian Prva Liga match between Mura Murska Sobota and Nafta Lendava, listed on Kalshi [1]. The contract asks whether both clubs will score at least one goal in the match. The rules state that the match was originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 [1]. The resolution rules are specific. The market resolves to Yes if both teams score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded, so goals scored only in those periods do not count [1]. Own goals count toward the team awarded the goal, which matters when a defender's deflection decides whether a side has scored [1]. The provider states that Kalshi is not affiliated with, authorized by, or endorsed by the governing league, and that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The event record lists its provider status as active but does not supply a listed end time [1]. The market record includes an end date of October 19, 2026, but that field is a provider data point and should not be read as an announced match date or a confirmed settlement time. The most recent saved price snapshot, observed on October 16, 2026 at 21:00 UTC, shows Yes at 0.59 and No at 0.41 for this single market [1]. These figures are a snapshot of listed prices at that observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome. The saved sample includes only this one BTTS market for the event, so the snapshot says nothing about other contracts that might exist for the same match.

Why It Matters

The contract measures a single, narrow event: whether both teams register at least one goal in the regulation match window defined by the provider [1]. Because the rules exclude extra time and penalties, a match that goes to a shootout after a level score does not change the BTTS result on that basis [1]. The own goal rule means the team credited with a goal is determined by the provider's attribution, not by who last touched the ball in the scoring sequence [1]. Traders reading the contract should compare the stated rules with the event wording rather than assume general football conventions. The provider's text is the controlling description of what counts [1].

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

Do goals in extra time count toward a Yes resolution?

No. The rules state that the market uses 90 minutes plus stoppage time and does not include extra time or penalties [1].

How are own goals treated?

Own goals count toward the team awarded the goal under the provider's rules [1].

What happens if the event occurs before the listed end date?

The provider states that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1].

Does the listed price mean the outcome is likely?

The available snapshot shows Yes at 0.59 and No at 0.41 at one observation time [1]. These are listed prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, so they do not establish how likely either outcome is.

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Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Reviewed equivalent pairs

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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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