Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? | PredictPedia

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Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Solana (SOL))

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Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Solana (SOL))	Kalshi	71%
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Ripple (XRP))	Kalshi	70%
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Bitcoin (BTC))	Kalshi	70%
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Ethereum (ETH))	Kalshi	69%
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Polkadot (DOT))	Kalshi	69%
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Dogecoin (DOGE))	Kalshi	66%
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Chainlink (LINK))	Kalshi	61%
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Shiba Inu (SHIB))	Kalshi	60%
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Stellar Lumens (XLM))	Kalshi	59%
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Litecoin (LTC))	Kalshi	48%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2026

If X has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Return will be calculated as:, last Price in <period>, minus, first Price in <period>, divided by, first Price in <period>. Price will be calculated by taking a simple average of the real-time CF Benchmarks index price in USD for <cryptocurrency> for the 60 seconds in a given minute, ignoring the top and bottom 20% of values.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Ripple has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Return will be calculated as: (last Price in <period>) minus (first Price in <period>), divided by (first Price in <period>). Price will be calculated by taking a simple average of the real-time CF Benchmarks "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $60.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $39.71M
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Ripple (XRP))
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $6.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 69.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Stellar Lumens (XLM))
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Solana (SOL))
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $12.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 71.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Shiba Inu (SHIB))
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $7.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 59.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Litecoin (LTC))
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $448
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Chainlink (LINK))
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $436
  DATA: [Yes: 61.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Ethereum (ETH))
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $11.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 69.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Polkadot (DOT))
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 68.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Dogecoin (DOGE))
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 66.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Bitcoin (BTC))
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $17.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 69.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

64¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

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Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?

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Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Solana (SOL))

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Events (1)

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?

Markets (10)

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Solana (SOL))

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Solana (SOL))

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Ripple (XRP))

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Ripple (XRP))

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Bitcoin (BTC))

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Bitcoin (BTC))

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Ethereum (ETH))

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Ethereum (ETH))

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Polkadot (DOT))

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Polkadot (DOT))

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Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Solana (SOL))

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Solana (SOL))

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Solana (SOL))

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Ripple (XRP))

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Ripple (XRP))

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Bitcoin (BTC))

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Bitcoin (BTC))

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Ethereum (ETH))

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Ethereum (ETH))

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Polkadot (DOT))

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Polkadot (DOT))

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