Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:27 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by...?

Name: Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by...?
End: 2026-12-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.61K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by...?

Vol

$1.61K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.61K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.61K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30?	Poly	81%
Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31?	Poly	80%
Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 15?	Poly	44%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

81%

Top Probability

$1.61K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if King Khalid International Airport (RUH) is targeted by a qualifying military action between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Riyadh Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” King Khalid International Airport refers to the international airport serving Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (IATA: RUH; ICAO: OERK), including its runways, taxiways, aprons, terminals, and other facilities within the airport grounds. A qualifying military action refers to

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by...?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 1, 2026 (49 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if King Khalid International Airport (RUH) is targeted by a qualifying military action between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Riyadh Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

King Khalid International Airport refers to the international airport serving Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (IATA: RUH; ICAO: OERK), including its runways, taxiways, aprons, terminals, and other facilities within the airport grounds.

A qualifying military action refers to

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if King Khalid International Airport (RUH) is targeted by a qualifying military action between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Riyadh Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

King Khalid International Airport refers to the international ai"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $11.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.14)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 15?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $246
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 79.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $115
  DATA: [Yes: 81.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics