Pafos vs Riga FC: Total Goals
K 0 contracts
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Pafos vs Riga FC: Total Goals
K 0 contracts
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6
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
6
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
PAF vs RFC (Oct 22) If over X goals are scored in the Pafos vs Riga FC professional Conference League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers six Kalshi markets tied to one event, "Pafos vs Riga FC: Total Goals." Each market asks whether a total-goals threshold will be exceeded. The thresholds are over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals. The event page says the match was "originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026," and that if the threshold is exceeded "after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. Readers should check that rule before comparing markets, because the count stops at regulation time.
Each market lists an end date of 2026-10-24T16:45:00.000Z [1]. This is a listed close time in the market records, not an announced match date or a confirmed resolution time. The event page lists its end time as not supplied [1].
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z and retrieved at 2026-10-17T01:38:22.993Z [1]. These are point-in-time quotes, not executable prices or verified probabilities. The reported volume figures are not included here, so this summary says nothing about liquidity.
Within each market, Yes and No prices sum to 1.00. The over 0.5 market shows Yes at 0.51 and No at 0.49. The over 1.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 markets each show 0.50 and 0.50. The over 2.5 market shows Yes at 0.375 and No at 0.625 [1]. These are separate contracts with different thresholds, so their prices should be read individually. Averaging them or treating differences between them as an arbitrage opportunity would be a mistake.
The coverage record reports 6 total markets, 6 included, and no partial sample [1]. The sampleWarning states that all saved markets for these events are included, but that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1].
What remains uncertain
The supplied evidence does not explain why any price is where it is, and it does not show how many traders hold any position. It contains no recent news about the match and no information about historical accuracy. The event page states that the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1], so the listed end date may not be the actual close. Readers should confirm the status and rules on the provider's site before relying on any figure.
References
- Kalshi: Pafos vs Riga FC: Total Goals. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a Kalshi market on the total number of goals in the Pafos vs Riga FC Conference League match originally scheduled for 22 October 2026 [1]. The provider's rules state that if more than a stated number of goals are scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market resolves to Yes. Extra time and penalties are excluded from the count [1]. The event title is "Pafos vs Riga FC: Total Goals" and the provider lists the event as active [1]. The saved market data includes six threshold contracts for this event: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 and 5.5 goals. Each asks whether the total will exceed that line. The snapshot was observed at 21:00 UTC on 16 October 2026. At that time the Yes price for over 0.5 goals was 0.51, the over 2.5 contract was 0.375, and the over 1.5, 3.5, 4.5 and 5.5 contracts were each 0.50 [1]. These are observed prices from one moment, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The saved data does not include trading volume, so it does not show how much activity sits behind any price. The contract's listed end date in the market data is 24 October 2026 at 16:45 UTC [1]. That is a date recorded in the contract data, not a confirmed match date or an announced resolution. The rules also say the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The provider's status page did not supply a listed end time for the event [1]. The wording "originally scheduled" in the rules means the match date is part of the contract terms. The supplied evidence does not say whether the fixture has been changed, so readers should treat the match timing as unconfirmed beyond what the rules state [1].
Historical Context
Pafos is the club in this contract, and Wikipedia's season articles describe its background. The article on the 2026–27 season says it is "Pafos's 13th year in existence, and tenth season in the Cypriot First Division" [2]. The article on the 2020–21 season describes that year as "Pafos's 7th year in existence, and fourth season in the Cypriot First Division" [3]. These pages describe the club's history in domestic league terms only. They do not describe the Conference League fixture, Riga FC, or the match outcome, and Wikipedia retrieval does not verify current match events.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single outcome: whether the number of goals scored in regulation time exceeds a chosen threshold [1]. Because the six threshold contracts share one event, they show how the market prices different totals for the same match. A Yes price on a lower line and a No price on a higher line describe the same underlying count at different cut points [1]. The rules' exclusion of extra time and penalties means that a match going beyond 90 minutes plus stoppage does not change the count under these terms [1]. Readers should compare these contracts only on their own stated rules, since the provider's sample covers six markets for this one event and does not show other possible outcomes [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Pafos vs Riga FC total goals contract measure?
It measures whether the goals scored in the match originally scheduled for 22 October 2026 exceed a stated threshold, counted after 90 minutes plus stoppage time [1].
Do goals in extra time or a penalty shootout count?
No. The provider's rules say the count does not include extra time or penalties [1].
Why are there several Pafos vs Riga FC contracts?
The saved event includes six threshold markets, from over 0.5 to over 5.5 goals. Each one asks whether the total exceeds its own line [1].
Are the prices in this contract current?
The prices are from a snapshot observed at 21:00 UTC on 16 October 2026. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and the saved data does not show later changes [1].
What does the end date in the market data mean?
The market data lists 24 October 2026 at 16:45 UTC as an end date [1]. The rules also say the market closes early if the event occurs, and the provider did not supply a listed end time on its status page [1]. The date is a contract field, not an announced match or resolution date.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
