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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

Name: LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2
End: 2026-05-21T13:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$5.74K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

Vol

$5.74K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $5.74K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.74K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

23 markets tracked

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(23)

Market	Platform	Price
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	57%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Poly	50%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	50%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)	Poly	43%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Poly	43%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	Poly	19%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

57%

Top Probability

$5.74K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Weibo Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2, initially scheduled for May 21 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the sche

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 21, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Weibo Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2, initially scheduled for May 21 at 2:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against Bilibili Gaming.

This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Weibo Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the sche

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Weibo Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2, initially scheduled for May 21 at 2:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against Bilibili Gaming.

This"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $27.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.21)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2
- **Polymarket** (End: May 21, 2026): Vol $5.7K
  DATA: [Weibo Gaming: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [Bilibili Gaming: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Weibo Gaming: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [Bilibili Gaming: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Weibo Gaming: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [Bilibili Gaming: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Bilibili Gaming: 57.5% (0.0%)] | [Weibo Gaming: 42.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

Volume$5.74K

Markets23

23 of 23

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POLYMARKET

Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?

This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Game 3 is an odd number. This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Game 3 is an even number. "Total combined kills" includes all champion kills recorded during the match by both Wei

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. This market

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. This marke

POLYMARKET

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

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Average Yes Price

48¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/pKWxT5" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2"></iframe>

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LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

Markets (23)

Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

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