Breaz / Georgiana Goina vs Gorska / Pawelska
K 3.7K contracts
1
2
Breaz / Georgiana Goina vs Gorska / Pawelska
K 3.7K contracts
1
2
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 3.7K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
2
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
Breaz / Georgiana Goina vs Gorska / Pawelska (Oct 17) If X / Y wins the Breaz / Georgiana Goina vs Gorska / Pawelska professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Bol Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Breaz / Georgiana Goina vs Gorska / Pawelska professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Bol Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation, all before the match starts, all markets will resolve to $0.50. If any player on either team does not participate in the match, even if a replacement plays and the match still takes place with some of the original players/teams, the event is considered a different match and all markets will be settled at $0.50. If a player/team withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that team will resolve to No. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-17T06:00:06.025Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved event is a professional tennis doubles match, Breaz / Georgiana Goina vs Gorska / Pawelska, in the 2026 W15 Bol Final. The source states: "If X / Y wins the Breaz / Georgiana Goina vs Gorska / Pawelska professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Bol Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes." [1] Two contracts are saved, one for each pair winning.
The rules include conditions beyond a simple win outcome. If the match does not occur because of injury, walkover, forfeiture, or another cancellation before the match starts, "all markets will resolve to $0.50." [1] If any player does not participate, "the event is considered a different match and all markets will be settled at $0.50." [1] If a team withdraws or forfeits after the match has started, that team resolves to No. [1] If the match is postponed, the market "will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks." [1]
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-17T06:00:06Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-17T07:24:39Z. These are past snapshot values, not live quotes. The saved Yes prices are 0.49 for Breaz / Georgiana Goina and 0.215 for Gorska / Pawelska. These two Yes prices total 0.705, so they do not form a complete probability split, and the evidence does not explain the difference. Snapshot prices are not executable quotes and should not be treated as verified probabilities.
Both markets carry an endDate of 2026-10-31T08:00:00.000Z. The source excerpt, however, says "Listed end time: not supplied," and the contract says the market "will close and expire after a winner is declared." [1] The endDate field is therefore a listed record value, not a confirmed match date or closing time.
The sample includes both saved markets (partialSample is false). It covers only this one provider event, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. The sample warning notes that inclusion of all saved markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome." [1]
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not give the scheduled match time, whether the match has started, or whether it will be played, postponed, or cancelled. Volume is not supplied, so it cannot be used to judge liquidity or the number of participants. The reason for the listed prices is also not in the evidence.
References
- Kalshi: Breaz / Georgiana Goina vs Gorska / Pawelska. Provider data observed 2026-10-17T06:00:06.025Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event on a women's professional doubles tennis match, titled "Breaz / Georgiana Goina vs Gorska / Pawelska." The event title describes the match as taking place on October 17 in the 2026 W15 Bol Final [1]. The provider lists two binary contracts for the event: one asks whether Breaz / Georgiana Goina will win, and the other asks whether Gorska / Pawelska will win [1]. Each contract is a yes or no question about the outcome, so the two contracts are the complementary sides of the same match. The contract rules say that a contract resolves to Yes if the named pair wins the match after a ball has been played [1]. The rules also set out what happens when the match does not start as scheduled. If the match does not occur because of an injury, walkover, forfeiture, or another cancellation before play begins, all markets resolve to $0.50 [1]. If any player is replaced so that the match is effectively a different one, the markets also settle at $0.50 [1]. If a pair withdraws or forfeits after the match has started, that pair resolves to No [1]. Timing rules are also specified. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market stays open and closes after the rescheduled match finishes, within two weeks [1]. The market closes and expires once a winner is declared [1]. The end date shown on each contract, October 31, 2026, is a contract rule date and not an announced match date [1]. The provider's excerpt also states that the listed end time was not supplied [1]. The price figures shown with this entry are a snapshot from the provider's observation time, not live quotes. They indicate the last reported prices for each side and do not show what a trader could execute at, and they are not verified probabilities. The entry's dated status and price details appear separately on the page.
Why It Matters
Each contract measures whether one named pair wins a specific professional doubles match. The contract settles on that single result, with explicit rules for cancellations, forfeits, and postponements [1]. Because the rules define when a result counts and how a no-match outcome is handled, the price of each side reflects the market's view of the named pair winning under those terms [1]. The provider states that it is not affiliated with the governing league [1], so the contract should be read on its own terms rather than as an official league product.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What happens if the match does not take place?
If the match does not occur because of an injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation before it starts, all markets resolve to $0.50 [1]. A replacement player that changes the teams would also cause the markets to settle at $0.50 [1].
What if a pair withdraws during the match?
If a player or team withdraws or forfeits after the match has started, that team resolves to No [1].
What happens if the match is postponed?
The market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks [1].
When does the market close?
The market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. The October 31, 2026 end date shown on the contract is a rule date rather than an announced match date [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
