Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The Polymarket event asks whether Sam LaPorta will record a stated number of receiving yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season [1]. Each listed contract is a separate threshold. The supplied titles cover 224.5+, 424.5+, 624.5+, 824.5+, and 1,024.5+ yards [1]. A "Yes" outcome requires the yardage to equal or exceed the listed number [1].

The rules also set edge cases. If LaPorta does not play in the season for any reason, the market resolves "No" [1]. If the season is shortened or ends early, the outcome uses available official data for completed games [1]. If the season is cancelled, is postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the yardage cannot be determined, the market resolves "50-50" [1]. The stated resolution source is official NFL information, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].

The listed end time is 2027-01-27T04:59:00.000Z [1]. This is a closing time in the contract data. It does not show that any game or announcement is scheduled for that date.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-16T06:29:40.154Z [1]. The prices describe only that observed moment. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

At observation, the quoted Yes prices were 0.98 for 224.5+, 0.855 for 424.5+, 0.435 for 624.5+, 0.155 for 824.5+, and 0.12 for 1,024.5+ [1]. Each threshold is a distinct contract, so these values should be read individually rather than summed or averaged. The sample includes all five saved markets for this one Polymarket event, and partialSample is false [1]. The provider notes that inclusion does not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed [1]. The evidence includes no trading volume, so it says nothing about liquidity or the number of traders.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why any price sits where it does, and it contains no news or other context about LaPorta's season [1]. Only one source is supplied, so this summary cannot compare wording or close times with other platforms, and differing prices across contracts are not evidence of an opportunity. The record lists the market as active at observation, but the status and prices may have changed since then, so readers should check the live listing. The cancellation and postponement terms refer to events that the evidence does not describe.

References

1. Polymarket: Pro Football: Sam LaPorta 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Yards. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z.