Counter-Strike: Ctrl Alt Defeat vs Wave Esports (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage
PM $774.15
1
2
Counter-Strike: Ctrl Alt Defeat vs Wave Esports (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage
PM $774.15
1
2
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $774.15
Reported volume · provider units
2
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Ctrl Alt Defeat and Wave Esports in the Exort Series Main Stage, initially scheduled for April 19 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ctrl Alt Defeat" if Ctrl Alt Defeat win the match against Wave Esports. This market will resolve to "Wave Esports" if Wave Esports win the match against Ctrl Alt Defeat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved event covers a Counter-Strike match between Ctrl Alt Defeat and Wave Esports. The source describes it as "the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Ctrl Alt Defeat and Wave Esports in the Exort Series Main Stage, initially scheduled for April 19 at 8:30AM ET" [1]. The event-level rule says the market resolves to the match winner [1].
The two saved markets in this snapshot do not ask who wins. They are "Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?" and "Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?", each with Odd and Even outcomes [1]. Their prices therefore describe a different question from the match winner and should not be read as a match forecast.
The rules also set 50-50 resolution for a canceled or tied match, a forfeit, or a delay beyond 7 days without a winner. They name hltv.org as the resolution source, with a possible consensus of credible reporting if final results are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes [1].
Reading the snapshot
Each saved outcome is listed at 0.5 [1]. These are provider snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The evidence does not include volume, order book depth, or trader counts, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many participants agree.
The provider observation time is 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T07:20:33.168Z [1]. The listed end time is 2026-04-27T03:59:00.000Z, which is earlier than the observation time, yet the provider status is recorded as "active" [1]. The evidence does not explain this, so readers should check the provider page before concluding whether trading is open.
The sample includes two markets, all saved markets for this event, with partialSample set to false [1]. This does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome for the real-world match.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show whether the match was played, its winner, or the total kills on either map. It also does not show whether any cancellation, forfeit, or delay rule applied. The excerpt describes name-matching rules for sponsor tags and abbreviations, but it does not show a name discrepancy in this event [1]. Only one platform appears in the evidence, so these prices cannot be compared with other platforms.
References
- Polymarket: Counter-Strike: Ctrl Alt Defeat vs Wave Esports (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event for a Counter-Strike match between Ctrl Alt Defeat and Wave Esports, played as a best-of-three in the Exort Series Main Stage [1]. The event's saved rules describe a winner market that resolves to the team that wins the match, with the match described as the Counter-Strike Round 3 meeting between the two teams [1]. The saved provider event lists a scheduled start of April 19 at 8:30AM ET, and a listed end time of April 27, 2026 at 03:59 UTC [1]. These dates come from the contract text and are not evidence of when the match was played or when the contract closed. The saved event contains two markets, both titled as odd or even total kills, one for Map 1 and one for Map 2 [1]. Each market has two outcomes, Odd and Even. In the saved snapshot, each outcome is priced at 0.5 [1]. A price like this is a snapshot of the provider's displayed value at one moment, not an executable quote, and it should not be read as a verified probability that either outcome will occur.
Why It Matters
The contract set is built around a single Counter-Strike match. The winner contract resolves to Ctrl Alt Defeat if that team wins the match against Wave Esports, and to Wave Esports if that team wins [1]. The rules also say the market resolves 50-50 if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined [1]. The separate odd and even markets, one for each map, are titled around total kills on that map, so they track whether the combined kill count for the map is odd or even [1]. The saved excerpt does not include the counting rules for those two markets, so the source text does not confirm how kills are tallied or which official record is used for them [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Which team does the winner contract resolve to?
The rules say the market resolves to Ctrl Alt Defeat if that team wins the match against Wave Esports, and to Wave Esports if that team wins the match against Ctrl Alt Defeat [1].
What is the resolution source for the winner contract?
The stated resolution source is official information from hltv.org. If hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence [1].
When does the match resolve to 50-50?
The rules say the market resolves 50-50 if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner being determined. They also say a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover before the start resolves 50-50 [1].
Does a price of 0.5 mean each outcome has a 50 percent chance?
No. The saved prices are snapshots from the provider and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The saved odd and even prices are both 0.5 at the time of that snapshot [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Counter-Strike: 9INE Academy vs CTRL Esports (BO3) - United21 Group C
PM $15.81Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
PM $5.5KCounter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Sökerorg (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Group Stage
PM $1.4KCounter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
PM $976.51Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
PM $379.64Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
PM $1.4KMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.