# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
PM $0
1
7
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
PM $0
1
7
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 120M+ at 52%.
Polymarket
- 120M+52%
- 70-80M33%
- 80-90M33%
- 90-100M32%
- 100-110M32%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
7
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-17T09:00:05.996Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The event asks how many views MrBeast's next YouTube video gets in its first 7 days after posting. The resolution source is the "views" counter on the video itself on MrBeast's YouTube channel [1]. Shorts, previews, and other releases do not count [1]. The seven markets are brackets of that single view count: less than 70 million, 70 to 80 million, 80 to 90 million, 90 to 100 million, 100 to 110 million, 110 to 120 million, and at least 120 million [1].
The rules set two tie-breaking provisions. If the reported value falls exactly on a boundary between two brackets, the market resolves to the higher bracket [1]. If MrBeast does not post a qualifying video by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to the lowest bracket [1]. The listed end time is 2026-12-01T04:59:00.000Z, which is the same instant as that deadline [1]. This is a listed close time, not a prediction that a video will be posted.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-10-17T09:00:05Z and retrieved at 09:16:50Z, and the provider reports the event as active [1]. These are point-in-time snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they may have changed since retrieval.
At that observation, the Yes prices were 0.195 for 100 to 110 million, 0.185 for 80 to 90 million, 0.17 for 90 to 100 million, 0.165 for at least 120 million, 0.155 for 110 to 120 million, 0.14 for 70 to 80 million, and 0.0485 for less than 70 million [1]. The highest quoted Yes price was in the 100 to 110 million bracket. The Yes prices sum to roughly 1.06, so they do not form a normalized distribution, and the brackets should not be read as exact probabilities.
The sample includes all seven markets saved for this event, and none were omitted [1]. The provider's note that this does not establish that every possible outcome is listed still applies to how the set is read.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not say whether MrBeast will post a video, what that video's view count will be, or why prices sit where they do. It contains no information about trading activity, trader numbers, or any news affecting the outcome. Volume was not included in this snapshot, so it cannot indicate liquidity. Differences in bracket prices should not be treated as an arbitrage opportunity without current, executable quotes. The prices reflect a single retrieval time and should be rechecked before any comparison.
References
- Polymarket: # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?. Provider data observed 2026-10-17T09:00:05.996Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This market is a Polymarket event titled "# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?" It asks how many views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after the market was created will have in its first seven days after posting [1]. The event is grouped under the Culture category, and the saved event is marked active [1]. The contract is built around a single counter. The resolution source is MrBeast's YouTube channel, specifically the views counter for the described video [1]. The rules exclude Shorts, previews, and other videos released other than the referenced video [1]. Because the measure depends on one specific upload, the outcome cannot be determined until a qualifying video has been posted and seven days have passed. The event lists seven range brackets. Four are narrow bands of ten million views between 70 and 120 million, one is a bracket for at least 120 million, and one is a bracket for fewer than 70 million. Each bracket has its own Yes and No contract [1]. The saved event includes all seven markets, so the bracket list is complete for this event, although that does not establish that every possible real-world outcome is represented by a provider listing. The contract includes several timing rules. The listed end time is 1 December 2026 at 04:59 UTC, which corresponds to 11:59 PM ET on 30 November 2026 [1]. That date is a rule about when the market closes, not an announced upload date. If MrBeast does not post a qualifying YouTube video by the November 30 deadline, the market resolves to the lowest range bracket [1]. If the resolution source is unavailable when the measurement period ends, the market uses the most recent view count available before that point [1]. The snapshot in this article was observed on 17 October 2026 at 09:00 UTC and retrieved at 09:16 UTC. Those times describe when this information was gathered. They do not show the market's price at the time you read this page, and they do not describe a live view count.
Historical Context
The retrieved Wikipedia excerpt describes MrBeast as the founder of Beast Industries, a conglomerate that holds several media channels and consumer brands, and says his main YouTube channel is the most subscribed on the platform [2]. The excerpt reports more than 521 million subscribers, but it is a retrieved description and does not confirm a current subscriber count [2]. The excerpt does not provide a detailed history of video view counts that would help estimate how this specific bracket structure was chosen.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow outcome: the view count of one specific future YouTube upload during its first seven days [1]. It is useful for people tracking the performance of MrBeast's main channel, because it turns that performance into a numeric range rather than a general prediction about popularity [1][2]. Its design also means that timing matters as much as views. A missing upload by the deadline resolves to the lowest bracket, which is a rule that can shape how the outcome is interpreted [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Does a YouTube Short count toward this market?
No. The rules state that Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered [1].
What happens if MrBeast does not post a qualifying video by the deadline?
The market resolves to the lowest range bracket if MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET [1].
How is a count that falls exactly on a boundary handled?
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, the market resolves to the higher range bracket [1].
What if the view counter cannot be checked at the end of the measurement period?
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, the market resolves according to the most recent number of views available before that point [1].
Does a price in this market show the chance that a bracket will happen?
A price is a snapshot from the provider at one moment. It is not an executable quote or a verified probability, so it should not be read as a confirmed chance of any outcome.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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