BNB Up or Down - October 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
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BNB Up or Down - October 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers one Polymarket contract, titled "BNB Up or Down - October 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET" [1]. According to the excerpt, the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range." Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The named resolution source is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that other sources or spot markets do not govern the outcome [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T03:15:00.000Z, which corresponds to 11:15PM ET on October 19 [1]. This is the contract's closing time. It is not the time the outcome was determined, and the excerpt does not report a resolution.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed the market at 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-19T08:37:09.568Z [1]. The prices therefore describe the market at the observation time, not a live quote at the time of reading. The saved prices were 0.505 for Up and 0.495 for Down [1]. These are snapshot prices. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The two prices sum to 1.000 in this record.
The sample is complete for this event. One of one saved market is included, and the partial sample flag is false [1]. Because the evidence covers a single platform and a single contract, it supports no cross-platform comparison. The record also does not include volume, so it says nothing about liquidity or the number of traders. The status was recorded as active at observation [1], but that observation predates the listed close, so the status should not be read as current.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices stand where they do. It also does not include the BNB price at the start of the window or any TWAP value during it, so the outcome cannot be determined from this record. Readers comparing this contract with other BNB markets should check each contract's exact wording, reference price, time window, and listed close time. Differences in any of these would change what each contract measures, so their prices should not be compared as if they referred to the same outcome.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window crypto contract on the price of BNB, titled "BNB Up or Down - October 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET" and listed on Polymarket [1]. The contract asks whether BNB's price over a five-minute window will end at or above where it started. According to the provider's rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink. The provider identifies the BNB/USD TWAP data stream as the source, and it states that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream for the BNB/USD pair, not other sources or spot markets [1]. This means the outcome depends on that specific data feed's calculation rather than on a general news report or a price quoted on a different exchange. The saved record lists the end time as 2026-10-20T03:15:00.000Z, which is the point at which the contract's window closes [1]. The provider's status for the record was "active" at the time it was saved [1]. A listed end time is the contract's closing point. It is not a separate event or announcement, and the record does not show the eventual resolution. In the saved record, the two outcomes were priced at 0.505 for "Up" and 0.495 for "Down" [1]. These are snapshot prices from the saved record, not executable quotes, and they do not by themselves indicate the likelihood of either outcome. Because the contract is short and time-bound, traders would need to watch the Chainlink TWAP calculation itself to understand how the window is measured.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the BNB/USD TWAP over a specific five-minute window, 11:10PM to 11:15PM ET on October 19, is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because it uses a time-weighted average rather than a single instant price, the outcome reflects the average behavior across the window as recorded by Chainlink's data stream [1]. The provider also states that other sources or spot markets do not govern the result [1]. Anyone reading the contract should therefore focus on the specified data feed and window rather than on general BNB price headlines.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of BNB over the stated range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1].
Which data source is used to settle the market?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The provider says other sources and spot markets are not used for this contract [1].
When does the contract close?
The saved record lists the end time as 2026-10-20T03:15:00.000Z [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.