GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Pro Baseball: Players Traded

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Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Pro Baseball: Players Traded

Vol

$0.00

Events

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Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

25 markets tracked

Will Aroldis Chapman be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(25)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Aroldis Chapman be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	85%
Will Luis Arraez be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	76%
Will Tarik Skubal be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	67%
Will Sonny Gray be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	56%
Will Willson Contreras be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	48%
Will Joe Ryan be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	47%
Will Rafael Devers be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	40%
Will Sandy Alcantara be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	40%
Will Jarren Duran be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	40%
Will Luis Severino be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	38%
Will Willy Adames be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	36%
Will Jose Berrios be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	35%
Will Christian Walker be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	33%
Will Matt Chapman be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	28%
Will Jo Adell be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	28%
Will Luis Castillo be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	22%
Will Yandy Diaz be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	20%
Will Jazz Chisholm Jr. be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	20%
Will Adley Rutschman be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	18%
Will Hunter Greene be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	16%
Will Randy Arozarena be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	9%
Will Fernando Tatis Jr. be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	9%
Will Zac Gallen be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	4%
Will Steven Kwan be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	4%
Will Gunnar Henderson be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

85%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

2026 Season If X is traded before Aug 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The trade must be officially processed and approved by MLB before Aug 5, 2026 for market to resolve X later fails their physical and/or the trade is rescinded for any reason after being officially processed, the market nonetheless resolves to Yes. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs or after the official trade deadline has passed.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Pro Baseball: Players Traded
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026 Season

If X is traded before Aug 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The trade must be officially processed and approved by MLB before Aug 5, 2026 for market to resolve X later fails their physical and/or the trade is rescinded for any reason after being officially processed, the market nonetheless resolves to Yes. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs or after the official trade deadline has passed.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Luis Arraez is traded before Aug 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The trade must be officially processed and approved by MLB before Aug 5, 2026 for market to resolve to Yes. If Luis Arraez later fails their physical and/or the trade is rescinded for any reason after bein"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Luis Arraez be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 75.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Matt Chapman be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Willy Adames be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Rafael Devers be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Willson Contreras be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Sonny Gray be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Aroldis Chapman be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 84.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Zac Gallen be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Yandy Diaz be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Tarik Skubal be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 66.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Steven Kwan be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Sandy Alcantara be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Randy Arozarena be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Luis Severino be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Luis Castillo be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Joe Ryan be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Jarren Duran be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Jazz Chisholm Jr. be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Jose Berrios be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 34.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Jo Adell be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Hunter Greene be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Gunnar Henderson be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Fernando Tatis Jr. be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Christian Walker be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Adley Rutschman be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Pro Baseball: Players Traded

Volume$0.00

Markets25

25 of 25

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KALSHI

Will Aroldis Chapman be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 84.5¢No 15.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Aroldis Chapman be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

If Aroldis Chapman is traded before Aug 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The trade must be officially processed and approved by MLB before Aug 5, 2026 for market to resolve to Yes. If Aroldis Chapman later fails their physical and/or the trade is rescinded for any reason af

KALSHI

Will Luis Arraez be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 75.5¢No 24.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Luis Arraez be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

If Luis Arraez is traded before Aug 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The trade must be officially processed and approved by MLB before Aug 5, 2026 for market to resolve to Yes. If Luis Arraez later fails their physical and/or the trade is rescinded for any reason after bein

KALSHI

Will Tarik Skubal be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 66.5¢No 33.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Tarik Skubal be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

If Tarik Skubal is traded before Aug 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The trade must be officially processed and approved by MLB before Aug 5, 2026 for market to resolve to Yes. If Tarik Skubal later fails their physical and/or the trade is rescinded for any reason after be

KALSHI

Will Sonny Gray be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 56.5¢No 43.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Sonny Gray be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

If Sonny Gray is traded before Aug 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The trade must be officially processed and approved by MLB before Aug 5, 2026 for market to resolve to Yes. If Sonny Gray later fails their physical and/or the trade is rescinded for any reason after being

KALSHI

Will Willson Contreras be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Willson Contreras be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

If Willson Contreras is traded before Aug 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The trade must be officially processed and approved by MLB before Aug 5, 2026 for market to resolve to Yes. If Willson Contreras later fails their physical and/or the trade is rescinded for any reaso

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33¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/ppP-RZ" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Pro Baseball: Players Traded"></iframe>

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Will Aroldis Chapman be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Pro Baseball: Players Traded

Markets (25)

Will Aroldis Chapman be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Aroldis Chapman be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Luis Arraez be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Luis Arraez be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Tarik Skubal be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Tarik Skubal be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Sonny Gray be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Sonny Gray be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Willson Contreras be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Willson Contreras be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Aroldis Chapman be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Pro Baseball: Players Traded

Will Aroldis Chapman be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Aroldis Chapman be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Luis Arraez be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Luis Arraez be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Tarik Skubal be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Tarik Skubal be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Sonny Gray be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Sonny Gray be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Willson Contreras be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Willson Contreras be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

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