Pro Baseball: Players Traded | PredictPedia

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

18 markets tracked

Will Steven Kwan be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(18)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Steven Kwan be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	46%
Will Sandy Alcantara be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	44%
Will Luis Severino be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	43%
Will Zac Gallen be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	43%
Will Yandy Diaz be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	43%
Will Tarik Skubal be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	43%
Will Randy Arozarena be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	43%
Will Luis Castillo be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	43%
Will Joe Ryan be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	43%
Will Jarren Duran be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	43%
Will Jazz Chisholm Jr. be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	43%
Will Jose Berrios be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	43%
Will Jo Adell be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	43%
Will Hunter Greene be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	43%
Will Gunnar Henderson be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	43%
Will Fernando Tatis Jr. be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	43%
Will Christian Walker be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	43%
Will Adley Rutschman be traded before Aug 5, 2026?	Kalshi	43%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, April 19, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Pro Baseball: Players Traded
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026 Season

If X is traded before Aug 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The trade must be officially processed and approved by MLB before Aug 5, 2026 for market to resolve X later fails their physical and/or the trade is rescinded for any reason after being officially processed, the market nonetheless resolves to Yes. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs or after the official trade deadline has passed.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Zac Gallen is traded before Aug 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The trade must be officially processed and approved by MLB before Aug 5, 2026 for market to resolve to Yes. If Zac Gallen later fails their physical and/or the trade is rescinded for any reason after being "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Zac Gallen be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Yandy Diaz be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Tarik Skubal be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Steven Kwan be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Sandy Alcantara be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Randy Arozarena be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Luis Severino be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Luis Castillo be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Joe Ryan be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Jarren Duran be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Jazz Chisholm Jr. be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Jose Berrios be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Jo Adell be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Hunter Greene be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Gunnar Henderson be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Fernando Tatis Jr. be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Christian Walker be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Adley Rutschman be traded before Aug 5, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

43¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Steven Kwan be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Pro Baseball: Players Traded

Markets (18)

Will Steven Kwan be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Steven Kwan be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Sandy Alcantara be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Sandy Alcantara be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Luis Severino be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Luis Severino be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Zac Gallen be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Zac Gallen be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Yandy Diaz be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Yandy Diaz be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Steven Kwan be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Pro Baseball: Players Traded

Will Steven Kwan be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Steven Kwan be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Sandy Alcantara be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Sandy Alcantara be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Luis Severino be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Luis Severino be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Zac Gallen be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Zac Gallen be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Yandy Diaz be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

Will Yandy Diaz be traded before Aug 5, 2026?

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