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GroupPOLYMARKET

CA-26 House Election Winner

CA-26 House Election Winner
Vol

PM $36.6K

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Events

1

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 28, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Jacqui Irwin (D) at 95%.

Polymarket

  1. Jacqui Irwin (D)95%
  2. Sam Gallucci (R)3.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $36.6K

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent

CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent

K 8.6K contracts
Will Bob Smith receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Bob Smith receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Bob Smith receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?Yes 96.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-52 House election: Jeff Belle vote percent

CA-52 House election: Jeff Belle vote percent

K 145 contracts
Will Jeff Belle receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-52 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Jeff Belle receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-52 House election?Yes 97%
Will Jeff Belle receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-52 House election?Yes 94.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-08 House election: Rudy Recile vote percent

CA-08 House election: Rudy Recile vote percent

K 0 contracts
Will Rudy Recile receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-08 House election?Yes 91%
Will Rudy Recile receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-08 House election?Yes 78%
Will Rudy Recile receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-08 House election?Yes 61%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-10 House election: Jeff Frese vote percent

CA-10 House election: Jeff Frese vote percent

K 0 contracts
Will Jeff Frese receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-10 House election?Yes 97%
Will Jeff Frese receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-10 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Jeff Frese receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-10 House election?Yes 82%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-15 House election: Charles Hoelter vote percent

CA-15 House election: Charles Hoelter vote percent

K 0 contracts
Will Charles Hoelter receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-15 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Charles Hoelter receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-15 House election?Yes 94%
Will Charles Hoelter receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-15 House election?Yes 77%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-16 House election: Peter Sundin Soulé vote percent

CA-16 House election: Peter Sundin Soulé vote percent

K 0 contracts
Will Peter Sundin Soulé receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-16 House election?Yes 97%
Will Peter Sundin Soulé receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-16 House election?Yes 92%
Will Peter Sundin Soulé receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-16 House election?Yes 74%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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