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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
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AI Analysis

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Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T15:00:05.977Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This snapshot covers one Polymarket event, "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET" [1]. The rules state that the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules say the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].

The listed end time is 2026-10-27T11:35:00.000Z [1]. Because the title refers to a five-minute window, a reader comparing this contract with a differently worded market should check the measured asset, the averaging method, and the data source before comparing prices.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed the market at 2026-10-26T15:00:05.977Z, and the application retrieved the source at 2026-10-26T15:09:12.750Z [1]. These are two different times, and neither is a resolution time. The saved prices were Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These figures are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.

The gap between the two outcomes is 0.01 at this observation time. The sample contains one market with two outcomes, and the saved event shows 1 of 1 markets included [1]. Because the sample is complete for this event, no omitted outcome is being compared. Volume is not included in this interpretation, and it would not indicate liquidity or the number of traders.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show why the prices were at these levels, whether the market has moved since the observation, or how the contract will resolve. The provider status is listed as active, but the supplied evidence contains no resolution outcome [1].

This event should not be compared with other Hyperliquid or HYPE contracts unless their rules, time windows, and resolution sources match. Different wording or close times can make prices non-comparable, and a price difference between such contracts is not an arbitrage opportunity by itself. The sample also does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome for this question.

References

  1. Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T15:00:05.977Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Overview

This is a short-duration crypto contract on Polymarket titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET" [1]. It asks whether the price of Hyperliquid, measured over the five-minute window named in the title, will finish at or above the price at the start of that window. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) over that range is greater than or equal to the starting price, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The measurement is tied to a specific data feed. The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink stream for the HYPE/USD pair, and not any other sources or spot markets [1]. A reader should therefore treat the contract as a question about that feed's readings rather than about prices quoted on exchanges. The source record was retrieved on 2026-10-26 and lists the event as active, with a listed end time of 2026-10-27T11:35:00Z [1]. That time corresponds to the end of the 7:30 to 7:35 AM ET window named in the title. The listed end time is a contract closing time, not a report that the window has finished or that a result has been determined. The source does not show an outcome.

Why It Matters

The contract measures the direction of Hyperliquid's price over a five-minute window, as recorded by the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. Because the rule compares the time-weighted average over the window to the price at the start of the window, the result depends on how the feed moves across those five minutes, not on the price at a single instant [1]. The contract's wording also limits the outcome to that one feed, so other exchanges or spot markets do not determine it [1]. A market price for either outcome is a snapshot from the time it was recorded and is not an executable quote.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?

It resolves to "Up" if the TWAP of Hyperliquid over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1].

Which price data does the contract use?

The contract uses the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].

When does the contract end?

The listed end time is 2026-10-27T11:35:00Z, which matches the end of the 7:30 to 7:35 AM ET window named in the title [1].

Has the outcome been determined?

The retrieved record shows the event as active and does not include a resolved outcome [1].

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Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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