Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?

Name: Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$59.94K

Events

Markets

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Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?

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Polymarket

markets · $59.94K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $59.94K

100%

Polymarket leads

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1 market tracked

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$59.94K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi Arabia initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, April 18, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi Arabia initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi Arabia initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifyin"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $29.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $6.0K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.98)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $29.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

3¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/q5baJt" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?"></iframe>

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Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?

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Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)